Cherno More Varna sit 12th in the First League on 5 points from 9 matches, having scored 10 and conceded 19. The model rates their attack at 0.52× the league average and their defence at 2.76× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — below average at both ends by these numbers. Across their last 5 league matches they have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats, most recently drawing with Lokomotiv Sofia 2-2 at home. That is 0.56 points a match, scoring 1.11 and conceding 2.11 per game across 1 win, 2 draws and 6 defeats. That leaves them 20 points behind Levski Sofia at the top, in a table of 14. Among the 14 rated sides in the division that is the 9th-best attack and the 14th-best defence. They scored in 5 of those 5 and kept 1 clean sheet. Next they travel to Arda Kardzhali in the First League on 19 September 2026, a match the model gives them 19%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
First League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 4 | +17 | 25 |
| 2 | Ludogorets | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 23 |
| 3 | CSKA Sofia | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 6 | +15 | 20 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 9 | +8 | 19 |
| 5 | Arda Kardzhali | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 | Botev Plovdiv | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 13 |
| 7 | Slavia Sofia | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 11 |
| 8 | Spartak Varna | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 10 |
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 8 |
| 10 | Septemvri Sofia | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 8 |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 6 |
| 12 | Cherno More Varna | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 5 |
| 13 | Lokomotiv Sofia | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 4 |
| 14 | Dunav Ruse | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 4 |
Cherno More Varna sit 12 of 14, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- D2-2Lokomotiv Sofia11 September 2026
- L0-1away to Lokomotiv Plovdiv6 September 2026
- L1-3away to CSKA Sofia30 August 2026
- W3-1Dunav Ruse21 August 2026
- L1-4away to CSKA 194814 August 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Cherno More Varna vs Arda Kardzhali
Cherno More Varna travel to Arda Kardzhali at Arena Arda, Kardzhali on 19 September 2026, 16:00 UTC. The model makes it 19% Cherno More Varna, 24% draw and 57% Arda Kardzhali, with a most likely scoreline of 2-0. It projects 0.89 expected goals for Cherno More Varna against 2.38. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.
Full preview and model analysis for Cherno More Varna vs Arda Kardzhali
Recent meetings with Arda Kardzhali
- 25 May 2026Cherno More Varna 2–3 Arda KardzhaliFirst League
- 3 May 2026Arda Kardzhali 0–0 Cherno More VarnaFirst League
- 4 March 2026Cherno More Varna 0–0 Arda KardzhaliFirst League
- 12 December 2025Cherno More Varna 0–3 Arda KardzhaliCup
- 22 September 2025Arda Kardzhali 0–1 Cherno More VarnaFirst League
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.