Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Sofia First League prediction & result
Final score: Arda Kardzhali 3-1 Lokomotiv Sofia.
Before kick-off the model made it 51% Arda Kardzhali, 21% draw, 28% Lokomotiv Sofia — fair odds of 1.96, 4.76 and 3.57.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Bulgarian First League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Arda Kardzhali at 51%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 1Anatoli GospodinovG
- 21Vyacheslav VelevD
- 44Adama Ardile TraoréD
- 5Viktor LyubenovD
- 35Dimitar VelkovskiD
- 80Lachezar KotevM
- 8Dominik YankovM
- 10Svetoslav KovachevM
- 91Stanislav IvanovM
- 99Birsent KaragarenM
- 16Preslav BachevF
- 4Idowu David AkintolaM
- 11Atanas KabovM
- 9Georgi NikolovF
- 18Simeon VasilevD
- 6Viktor PopovD
- 22Yanko GeorgievG
- 24Martin PaskalevD
- 26Burak AkandzhaM
- 99Martin VelichkovG
- 22Reyan DaskalovD
- 3Kaloyan KostovD
- 91Ryan BidoungaD
- 14Angel LyaskovD
- 26Krasimir MiloshevM
- 31Krasimir StanoevM
- 17Mark Emilio PapazovM
- 20Dimitar KostadinovM
- 7Spas DelevM
- 77Caue Caruzo AlvesF
- 6EirôD
- 11Adil TaouiM
- 16Mohamed MedfaiM
- 44Bozhidar KatsarovD
- 71Nikolas PenevM
- 24Aleksandar LyubenovG
- 42Nikola NeychevD
- 19Mitko MitkovD
- 5Erol DostM
Form going into Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
All competitions we cover
- W2-0away to Dunav Ruse8 August 2026
- L1-2away to CSKA 194831 July 2026
- W1-0Slavia Sofia24 July 2026
- D1-1away to Septemvri Sofia18 July 2026
Lokomotiv Sofia
All competitions we cover
- L1-3CSKA 19488 August 2026
- D1-1away to Slavia Sofia31 July 2026
- L1-2Levski Sofia25 July 2026
- D1-1away to Botev Plovdiv20 July 2026
What these results say
- Arda Kardzhali scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Arda Kardzhali had two goals or fewer.
- Lokomotiv Sofia did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Lokomotiv Sofia scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Lokomotiv Sofia conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
First League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Arda Kardzhali | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Sofia | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Sofia
- 28 November 2025Lokomotiv Sofia 0–0 Arda KardzhaliFirst League
- 27 July 2025Arda Kardzhali 1–1 Lokomotiv SofiaFirst League
- 13 April 2025Arda Kardzhali 5–0 Lokomotiv SofiaFirst League
- 2 November 2024Lokomotiv Sofia 0–2 Arda KardzhaliFirst League
- 9 December 2023Lokomotiv Sofia 0–1 Arda KardzhaliFirst League
Leading scorers: Arda Kardzhali and Lokomotiv Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
GoalsAssists
- B. Karagaren11
- S. Kovachev10
- A. Kabov10
Lokomotiv Sofia
GoalsAssists
- S. Delev11
- D. Kostadinov10
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Arda Kardzhali beat Lokomotiv Sofia 3–1. The model had made a win for Arda Kardzhali its most likely outcome, at 51%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Stanislav Ivanov 31' for Arda Kardzhali, Stanislav Ivanov 35' for Arda Kardzhali, Caue Caruzo Alves 75' for Lokomotiv Sofia, Svetoslav Kovachev 88' for Arda Kardzhali.