CSKA Sofia sit 3rd in the First League on 20 points from 8 matches, having scored 21 and conceded 6. The model rates their attack at 0.74× the league average and their defence at 1.54× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — below average at both ends by these numbers. Across their last 5 league matches they have 4 wins and 1 draw, most recently beating Arda Kardzhali 4-1 at home. That is 2.50 points a match, scoring 2.63 and conceding 0.75 per game across 6 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats. That leaves them 5 points behind Levski Sofia at the top, in a table of 14. Among the 14 rated sides in the division that is the 3rd-best attack and the 5th-best defence. They scored in 4 of those 5 and kept 1 clean sheet. Next they travel to Lokomotiv Sofia in the First League on 16 September 2026, a match the model gives them 43%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
First League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 4 | +17 | 25 |
| 2 | Ludogorets | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 23 |
| 3 | CSKA Sofia | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 6 | +15 | 20 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 9 | +8 | 19 |
| 5 | Arda Kardzhali | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 | Botev Plovdiv | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 13 |
| 7 | Slavia Sofia | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 11 |
| 8 | Spartak Varna | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 10 |
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 8 |
| 10 | Septemvri Sofia | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 8 |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 6 |
| 12 | Cherno More Varna | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 5 |
| 13 | Lokomotiv Sofia | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 4 |
| 14 | Dunav Ruse | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 4 |
CSKA Sofia sit 3 of 14, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- W4-1Arda Kardzhali12 September 2026
- D1-1away to Spartak Varna5 September 2026
- W3-1Cherno More Varna30 August 2026
- W5-0Botev Vratsa16 August 2026
- W3-0away to Septemvri Sofia9 August 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia
CSKA Sofia travel to Lokomotiv Sofia at Stadion Lokomotiv, Sofia on 16 September 2026, 16:00 UTC. The model makes it 43% CSKA Sofia, 27% draw and 30% Lokomotiv Sofia, with a most likely scoreline of 1-2. It projects 1.92 expected goals for CSKA Sofia against 1.40. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.
Full preview and model analysis for CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia
Recent meetings with Lokomotiv Sofia
- 8 March 2026CSKA Sofia 2–0 Lokomotiv SofiaFirst League
- 13 December 2025CSKA Sofia 2–1 Lokomotiv SofiaCup
- 27 September 2025Lokomotiv Sofia 1–1 CSKA SofiaFirst League
- 2 April 2025CSKA Sofia 1–0 Lokomotiv SofiaFirst League
- 16 September 2024Lokomotiv Sofia 0–3 CSKA SofiaFirst League
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.