Gremio

Gremio sit 17th in the Serie A on 22 points from 20 matches, having scored 22 and conceded 26. The model rates their attack at 0.70× the league average and their defence at 1.48× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — below average at both ends by these numbers. Across their last 5 league matches they have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats, most recently drawing with Fluminense 1-1 at home. Next they host Sao Paulo in the Serie A on 8 August 2026, a match the model gives them 33%.

Model rating

How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average.

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