Corinthians sit 13th in the Serie A on 32 points from 27 matches, having scored 28 and conceded 29. The model rates their attack at 0.80× the league average and their defence at 1.08× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better. Across their last 5 league matches they have 5 defeats, most recently losing to Flamengo 1-2 away. That is 1.19 points a match, scoring 1.04 and conceding 1.07 per game across 8 wins, 8 draws and 11 defeats. That leaves them 25 points behind Flamengo at the top, in a table of 20. Among the 20 rated sides in the division that is the 16th-best attack and the 4th-best defence. They scored in 4 of those 5 and kept 0 clean sheets. Next they host Fluminense in the Serie A on 20 September 2026, a match the model gives them 40%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 53 | 22 | +31 | 57 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 47 | 21 | +26 | 56 |
| 3 | Atletico Paranaense | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41 | 31 | +10 | 46 |
| 4 | Bahia | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 42 | 33 | +9 | 46 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 41 | 35 | +6 | 45 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Atletico Mineiro | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 35 | 31 | +4 | 39 |
| 8 | Coritiba | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 38 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 29 | +3 | 36 |
| 10 | Santos | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 35 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 31 | 30 | +1 | 33 |
| 12 | Vitoria | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 33 |
| 13 | Corinthians | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 32 |
| 14 | Botafogo | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 29 |
| 16 | Gremio | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 28 |
| 17 | Vasco da Gama | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 28 |
| 18 | Internacional | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 28 |
| 19 | Remo | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 17 |
Corinthians sit 13 of 20, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- L1-2away to Flamengo13 September 2026
- L1-2Chapecoense6 September 2026
- L0-1Santos30 August 2026
- L1-2away to Coritiba23 August 2026
- L1-2Cruzeiro16 August 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Corinthians vs Fluminense
Corinthians host Fluminense at Neo Quimica Arena, Sao Paulo on 20 September 2026, 19:00 UTC. The model makes it 40% Corinthians, 29% draw and 31% Fluminense, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0. It projects 1.51 expected goals for Corinthians against 1.17. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Full preview and model analysis for Corinthians vs Fluminense
Recent meetings with Fluminense
- 2 April 2026Fluminense 3–1 CorinthiansSerie A
- 14 September 2025Fluminense 0–1 CorinthiansSerie A
- 16 April 2025Corinthians 0–2 FluminenseSerie A
- 18 August 2024Fluminense 0–0 CorinthiansSerie A
- 28 April 2024Corinthians 3–0 FluminenseSerie A
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.