Atletico Paranaense sit 3rd in the Serie A on 46 points from 27 matches, having scored 41 and conceded 31. The model rates their attack at 0.92× the league average and their defence at 1.38× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better. Across their last 5 league matches they have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat, most recently drawing with Coritiba 3-3 away. That is 1.70 points a match, scoring 1.52 and conceding 1.15 per game across 13 wins, 7 draws and 7 defeats. That leaves them 11 points behind Flamengo at the top, in a table of 20. Among the 20 rated sides in the division that is the 4th-best attack and the 19th-best defence. They scored in 5 of those 5 and kept 0 clean sheets. Next they host Bahia in the Serie A on 20 September 2026, a match the model gives them 34%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 53 | 22 | +31 | 57 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 47 | 21 | +26 | 56 |
| 3 | Atletico Paranaense | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41 | 31 | +10 | 46 |
| 4 | Bahia | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 42 | 33 | +9 | 46 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 41 | 35 | +6 | 45 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Atletico Mineiro | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 35 | 31 | +4 | 39 |
| 8 | Coritiba | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 38 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 29 | +3 | 36 |
| 10 | Santos | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 35 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 31 | 30 | +1 | 33 |
| 12 | Vitoria | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 33 |
| 13 | Corinthians | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 32 |
| 14 | Botafogo | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 29 |
| 16 | Gremio | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 28 |
| 17 | Vasco da Gama | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 28 |
| 18 | Internacional | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 28 |
| 19 | Remo | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 17 |
Atletico Paranaense sit 3 of 20, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- D3-3away to Coritiba12 September 2026
- L1-3away to Cruzeiro6 September 2026
- D3-3Fluminense30 August 2026
- W3-2away to Botafogo24 August 2026
- D1-1RB Bragantino15 August 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia
Atletico Paranaense host Bahia at Arena da Baixada, Curitiba on 20 September 2026, 22:30 UTC. The model makes it 34% Atletico Paranaense, 27% draw and 39% Bahia, with a most likely scoreline of 1-2. It projects 1.62 expected goals for Atletico Paranaense against 1.80. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.
Full preview and model analysis for Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia
Recent meetings with Bahia
- 1 April 2026Bahia 3–0 Atletico ParanaenseSerie A
- 24 November 2024Bahia 1–1 Atletico ParanaenseSerie A
- 10 July 2024Atletico Paranaense 1–3 BahiaSerie A
- 12 November 2023Bahia 1–1 Atletico ParanaenseSerie A
- 16 July 2023Atletico Paranaense 2–0 BahiaSerie A
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.
Upcoming fixtures
Recent results
Leading scorers
- K. Viveros18 goals3 assists
League goals this season.