Vitoria sit 12th in the Serie A on 33 points from 27 matches, having scored 27 and conceded 39. The model rates their attack at 0.82× the league average and their defence at 1.17× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — below average at both ends by these numbers. Across their last 5 league matches they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, most recently drawing with Mirassol 2-2 away. That is 1.22 points a match, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.44 per game across 9 wins, 6 draws and 12 defeats. That leaves them 24 points behind Flamengo at the top, in a table of 20. Among the 20 rated sides in the division that is the 14th-best attack and the 13th-best defence. They scored in 4 of those 5 and kept 2 clean sheets. Next they host Cruzeiro in the Serie A on 20 September 2026, a match the model gives them 42%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 53 | 22 | +31 | 57 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 47 | 21 | +26 | 56 |
| 3 | Atletico Paranaense | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41 | 31 | +10 | 46 |
| 4 | Bahia | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 42 | 33 | +9 | 46 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 41 | 35 | +6 | 45 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Atletico Mineiro | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 35 | 31 | +4 | 39 |
| 8 | Coritiba | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 38 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 29 | +3 | 36 |
| 10 | Santos | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 35 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 31 | 30 | +1 | 33 |
| 12 | Vitoria | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 33 |
| 13 | Corinthians | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 32 |
| 14 | Botafogo | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 29 |
| 16 | Gremio | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 28 |
| 17 | Vasco da Gama | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 28 |
| 18 | Internacional | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 28 |
| 19 | Remo | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 17 |
Vitoria sit 12 of 20, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- D2-2away to Mirassol13 September 2026
- W1-0Gremio7 September 2026
- L1-2away to Atletico Mineiro29 August 2026
- L0-2Bahia23 August 2026
- W1-0Botafogo16 August 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Vitoria vs Cruzeiro
Vitoria host Cruzeiro at Estadio Manoel Barradas, El Salvador on 20 September 2026, 19:00 UTC. The model makes it 42% Vitoria, 28% draw and 30% Cruzeiro, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1. It projects 1.64 expected goals for Vitoria against 1.21. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Full preview and model analysis for Vitoria vs Cruzeiro
Recent meetings with Cruzeiro
- 1 April 2026Cruzeiro 3–0 VitoriaSerie A
- 1 November 2025Cruzeiro 3–1 VitoriaSerie A
- 12 June 2025Vitoria 0–0 CruzeiroSerie A
- 19 August 2024Vitoria 2–2 CruzeiroSerie A
- 28 April 2024Cruzeiro 3–1 VitoriaSerie A
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.
Upcoming fixtures
Recent results
Leading scorers
- Rene8 goals1 assists
League goals this season.