7 October 2026, 22:30 UTC

Remo vs Gremio Serie A prediction & result

Estadio Evandro Almeida, Belem
Referee: Davi de Oliveira Lacerda
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Remo 1-1 Gremio.

Before kick-off the model made it 40% Remo, 29% draw, 31% Gremio — fair odds of 2.50, 3.45 and 3.23.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Remo at 40%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Remo4%Draw93%Gremio3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Vitor Bueno
10'
20'
Cristian Pavón
27'
Dodi
Gabriel Taliari
35'
Antonio Galeano
45+1'
45+3'
⚽Walter Kannemannassist: Wallace Gomes da Silva Santos
45'
🔁Francis Amuzuout: José Enamorado
57'
José Enamorado
59'
🔁Cristian Pavónout: Tetê
59'
🔁Carlos Viníciusout: Martin Braithwaite
🔁Leonel Piccoout: Eduardo Melo
61'
🔁Glaybson Yago Souza Lisboaout: Jandir Breno Souza Silva
69'
71'
🔁Dodiout: Juan Nardoni
🔁Vitor Buenoout: Patrick Bezerra do Nascimento
81'
🔁Antonio Galeanoout: David Francisco·Trindade Braga
81'
82'
João Pedro
87'
🔁Danilo Barbosa da Silvaout: Bernardo Zortea
⚽David Francisco·Trindade Bragaassist: Gabriel Taliari
88'

Match stats — Remo vs Gremio

62%Possession38%
23Shots17
9On target5
10Corners4

Line-ups

Remo 4-2-3-1
  • 88Marcelo RangelG
  • 79MarcelinhoD
  • 13MarllonD
  • 27Zé IvaldoD
  • 6MarlonD
  • 14L. PiccoM
  • 55Zé RicardoM
  • 22Yago PikachuM
  • 15Vitor BuenoM
  • 21A. GaleanoM
  • 19Gabriel TaliariF
Substitutes
  • 26David FranciscoM
  • 94Ygor VinhasG
  • 2Matheus AlexandreD
  • 5Leo AndradeD
  • 7Jája SilvaM
  • 10JádersonF
  • 97IvanG
  • 39Eduardo MeloF
  • 8PatrickM
Coach: Thiago Carpini
Gremio 4-1-4-1
  • 1WevertonG
  • 18João PedroD
  • 82WallaceD
  • 4W. KannemannD
  • 38Caio PaulistaD
  • 15Danilo BarbosaM
  • 7C. PavónM
  • 20M. VillasantiM
  • 17DodiM
  • 9F. AmuzuM
  • 95Carlos ViníciusF
Substitutes
  • 3Wagner LeonardoD
  • 50Bernardo ZorteaM
  • 22M. BraithwaiteF
  • 99J. EnamoradoF
  • 2F. BalbuenaD
  • 12Gabriel GrandoG
  • 10F. KrovinovićM
  • 14Marcos RochaD
  • 5J. NardoniM
Coach: Renato Gaúcho

Form going into Remo vs Gremio

Remo

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2Santos19 September 2026
  • L1-2away to Bahia14 September 2026
  • L0-1Flamengo6 September 2026
  • L2-3Coritiba31 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Fluminense22 August 2026

Gremio

All competitions we cover

  • D0-0Palmeiras20 September 2026
  • L1-2Vasco da Gama12 September 2026
  • L0-1away to Vitoria7 September 2026
  • W3-1Chapecoense30 August 2026
  • L0-1away to RB Bragantino23 August 2026

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Brazil Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
19Remo34611173757-2029
18Gremio34910153847-937

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Remo vs Gremio

  • 5 April 2026Gremio 0–0 RemoSerie A

Leading scorers: Remo and Gremio

Remo

GoalsAssists

  • Jája Silva91

Gremio

GoalsAssists

  • Carlos Vinícius111

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Remo and Gremio drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Remo at 40% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Walter Kannemann 45+3' for Gremio, David Francisco·Trindade Braga 88' for Remo.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.