Greek Super League predictions

Saturday 10 October — 7 matches

• 15:00 UTC Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos — model 35% / 33% / 32%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.86 · 3.03 · 3.13. Tight game · draw in reach
• 15:00 UTC AEK Athens FC vs OFI — model 62% / 23% / 15%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.61 · 4.35 · 6.67.
• 15:00 UTC PAOK vs Kalamata — model 63% / 22% / 15%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.59 · 4.55 · 6.67.
• 15:00 UTC Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos — model 33% / 30% / 37%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.03 · 3.33 · 2.70.
• 15:00 UTC Aris Thessalonikis vs Volos NFC — model 47% / 28% / 25%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.13 · 3.57 · 4.00.
• 15:00 UTC Kifisia vs Panetolikos — model 36% / 31% / 33%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.78 · 3.23 · 3.03. Tight game · draw in reach
• 15:00 UTC Iraklis 1908 vs Levadiakos — model 39% / 30% / 31%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.56 · 3.33 · 3.23.

Saturday 17 October — 7 matches

• 15:00 UTC Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis — model 61% / 24% / 15%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.64 · 4.17 · 6.67.
• 15:00 UTC PAOK vs Iraklis 1908 — model 58% / 25% / 17%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.72 · 4.00 · 5.88.
• 15:00 UTC Panetolikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus — model 23% / 31% / 46%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 4.35 · 3.23 · 2.17.
• 15:00 UTC Levadiakos vs Volos NFC — model 45% / 28% / 27%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.22 · 3.57 · 3.70.
• 15:00 UTC Kalamata vs OFI — model 35% / 29% / 36%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 2.86 · 3.45 · 2.78. Tight game · draw in reach
• 15:00 UTC Kifisia vs Aris Thessalonikis — model 34% / 32% / 34%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.94 · 3.13 · 2.94. Tight game · draw in reach
• 15:00 UTC Atromitos vs AEK Athens FC — model 21% / 27% / 52%, most likely 0-2, fair odds 4.76 · 3.70 · 1.92.

Last round: the model's hits and misses

19–20 September: the model called the result of 4 of 6 matches, 2 of them to the exact score.

• Atromitos 1–2 Kifisia — the model said 44% / 29% / 27%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
• Aris Thessalonikis 0–0 Iraklis 1908 — the model said 37% / 30% / 33%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
• Levadiakos 0–1 Olympiakos Piraeus — the model said 32% / 31% / 37%, most likely 0-1: exact scoreline.
• Volos NFC 1–2 AEK Athens FC — the model said 30% / 28% / 42%, most likely 1-2: exact scoreline.
• Kalamata 0–1 Panathinaikos — the model said 30% / 26% / 44%, most likely 1-2: result correct.
• Panetolikos 1–3 PAOK — the model said 34% / 29% / 37%, most likely 0-1: result correct.