OFI
vs
Levadiakos
Super League 1 prediction
Our model says: OFI 1–0 Levadiakos
The model makes it 44% OFI, 29% draw, 27% Levadiakos — fair odds of 2.27, 3.45 and 3.70.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: OFI 1.47, Levadiakos 1.03.
Both teams to score: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%, under 2.5: 54%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,958 settled matches.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. OFI's rating is built from 42 Greek Super League matches and Levadiakos's from 42, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 541 matches.
Key facts
- OFI are 6th on 17 points from 10 games; Levadiakos are 13th on 6 points from 10 games — Super League 1.
- OFI are unbeaten in 3 games, most recently a 0-0 draw at home to Atromitos.
- Levadiakos have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-2 defeat away to AEK Athens FC.
- Last 6 meetings: OFI 3 wins to 2, 1 draw; the most recent, 13 May 2026, ended Levadiakos 3–2 OFI.
More Greek Super League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: OFI vs Levadiakos
Has the model earned this number?
OFI at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into OFI vs Levadiakos
OFI
Super League 1
- D0-0Atromitos8 November 2026
- W1-0away to Panetolikos1 November 2026
- W2-1PAOK25 October 2026
- L3-4away to Kalamata18 October 2026
- L0-3away to AEK Athens FC10 October 2026
Levadiakos
Super League 1
- L1-2away to AEK Athens FC8 November 2026
- W3-0Aris Thessalonikis1 November 2026
- D0-0away to Asteras Tripolis24 October 2026
- D0-0Volos NFC17 October 2026
- L0-2away to Iraklis 190811 October 2026
What these results say
- Levadiakos failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Super League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | OFI | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 12 | +2 | 17 |
| 13 | Levadiakos | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: OFI vs Levadiakos
- 13 May 2026Levadiakos 3–2 OFISuper League 1
- 18 April 2026OFI 2–0 LevadiakosSuper League 1
- 11 February 2026Levadiakos 0–1 OFICup
- 8 February 2026OFI 3–2 LevadiakosSuper League 1
- 4 February 2026OFI 1–1 LevadiakosCup
- 21 September 2025Levadiakos 4–0 OFISuper League 1
Leading scorers: OFI and Levadiakos
OFI
GoalsAssists
- K. Kodro40
Levadiakos
No player in Super League 1's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives OFI the highest probability at 44%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for OFI against 1.03 for Levadiakos. OFI's attack/defence rating is 0.79/1.31 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.66/1.26 for Levadiakos.
How the model reaches 44% for OFI to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for OFI to win. Then home advantage adds 5 points, OFI's ratings add 2 points and Levadiakos's ratings add 1 point, which lands on the published 44%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage41%+5
- OFI's ratings43%+2
- Levadiakos's ratings44%+1
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
OFI at home · Levadiakos away
League matches only, Super League 1, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Position by match
OFILevadiakos
OFI are 6th after 10 Super League 1 matches (between 2nd and 6th so far); Levadiakos are 13th after 10 (between 12th and 13th). Points deductions (Volos NFC −3) count from the first match. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Super League 1 matches this season: OFI 10, Levadiakos 10.
OFI score most often in the 76–90 minute window (5 goals); Levadiakos have let in 5 there.
Levadiakos score most often in the 0–15 minute window (2 goals); OFI have let in 3 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
OFI
- vs Iraklis 19086 Dec · Super League 1win 42%
- at Benfica10 Dec · UEFA Europa Leaguewin 7%
- at Kifisia14 Dec · Super League 1win 33%
Levadiakos
- at Kalamata6 Dec · Super League 1win 30%
- vs Asteras Tripolis12 Dec · Super League 1win 44%
- at Volos NFC19 Dec · Super League 1win 40%
- vs OFI9 Jan · Super League 1win 37%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.