Levadiakos
vs
Atromitos
Super League 1 prediction
Our model says: Levadiakos 1–0 Atromitos
The model makes it 37% Levadiakos, 30% draw, 33% Atromitos — fair odds of 2.70, 3.33 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Levadiakos 1.20, Atromitos 1.10.
Both teams to score: 47%. Over 2.5 goals: 41%, under 2.5: 59%.
Model confidence: Low — calls at this level have come off 38% of the time, over 1,304 settled matches.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 11 November 2026. Levadiakos's rating is built from 42 Greek Super League matches and Atromitos's from 45, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 541 matches.
Key facts
- Levadiakos are 13th on 6 points from 10 games; Atromitos are 12th on 6 points from 9 games — Super League 1.
- Levadiakos have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-2 defeat away to AEK Athens FC.
- Atromitos have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-0 draw away to OFI.
- Last 6 meetings: Atromitos 3 wins to 1, 2 draws; the most recent, 22 March 2026, ended Levadiakos 1–0 Atromitos.
More Greek Super League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Levadiakos vs Atromitos
Has the model earned this number?
Levadiakos at 37%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Levadiakos vs Atromitos
Levadiakos
Super League 1
- L1-2away to AEK Athens FC8 November 2026
- W3-0Aris Thessalonikis1 November 2026
- D0-0away to Asteras Tripolis24 October 2026
- D0-0Volos NFC17 October 2026
- L0-2away to Iraklis 190811 October 2026
Atromitos
Super League 1
- D0-0away to OFI8 November 2026
- W3-0Volos NFC2 November 2026
- L1-3away to Aris Thessalonikis25 October 2026
- L1-2away to Asteras Tripolis10 October 2026
- L1-2Kifisia19 September 2026
What these results say
- Levadiakos failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Atromitos failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Atromitos scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Atromitos had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Super League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Levadiakos | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 6 |
| 12 | Atromitos | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Levadiakos
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 44% today
Atromitos
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 26% today
From our Super League 1 season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Levadiakos vs Atromitos
- 22 March 2026Levadiakos 1–0 AtromitosSuper League 1
- 18 October 2025Atromitos 2–2 LevadiakosSuper League 1
- 2 March 2025Levadiakos 1–2 AtromitosSuper League 1
- 25 November 2024Atromitos 2–1 LevadiakosSuper League 1
- 25 September 2024Levadiakos 1–2 AtromitosCup
- 1 April 2023Levadiakos 1–1 AtromitosSuper League 1
Where the model differs from the table
The table and the model disagree here: the standings favour Atromitos (12th, with Levadiakos 13th), while our numbers lean to Levadiakos. Levadiakos rate 0.66 in attack and 1.25 in defence, Atromitos 0.74 and 1.23 (lower is better in defence): close enough that playing at home is what tips the call.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Levadiakos the highest probability at 37%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.20 expected goals for Levadiakos against 1.10 for Atromitos. Levadiakos's attack/defence rating is 0.66/1.25 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.74/1.23 for Atromitos.
How the model reaches 37% for Levadiakos to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Levadiakos to win. Then home advantage adds 5 points, the level of the two sides takes away 1 point, Levadiakos's ratings take away 2 points and Atromitos's ratings take away 1 point, which lands on the published 37%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage41%+5
- Both sides at this match's level40%−1
- Levadiakos's ratings38%−2
- Atromitos's ratings37%−1
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Levadiakos at home · Atromitos away
League matches only, Super League 1, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Position by match
LevadiakosAtromitos
Levadiakos are 13th after 10 Super League 1 matches (between 12th and 13th so far); Atromitos are 12th after 9 (between 9th and 13th). Points deductions (Volos NFC −3) count from the first match. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Super League 1 matches this season: Levadiakos 10, Atromitos 9.
Levadiakos score most often in the 0–15 minute window (2 goals); Atromitos have let in 2 there.
Atromitos score most often in the 16–30 minute window (4 goals); Levadiakos have let in 0 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Levadiakos
- at OFI29 Nov · Super League 1win 27%
- at Kalamata6 Dec · Super League 1win 31%
- vs Asteras Tripolis12 Dec · Super League 1win 45%
- at Volos NFC19 Dec · Super League 1win 40%
- vs OFI9 Jan · Super League 1win 38%
Atromitos
- vs Panathinaikos29 Nov · Super League 1win 20%
- at Panetolikos7 Dec · Super League 1win 42%
- vs Olympiakos Piraeus13 Dec · Super League 1win 21%
- at Kifisia19 Dec · Super League 1win 32%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.