Regular Season - 11 · 22 November 2026, 15:00 UTC

Panetolikos vs Volos NFC Super League 1 prediction

Panetolikos Stadium, Agrinio

Our model says: Panetolikos 1–0 Volos NFC

The model makes it 42% Panetolikos, 29% draw, 29% Volos NFC — fair odds of 2.38, 3.45 and 3.45.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Expected goals: Panetolikos 1.35, Volos NFC 1.03.

Both teams to score: 48%. Over 2.5 goals: 42%, under 2.5: 58%.

Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,920 settled matches.

Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.

Published 8 November 2026 · updated 12 November 2026

Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 12 November 2026. Panetolikos's rating is built from 46 Greek Super League matches and Volos NFC's from 42, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 541 matches.

Key facts

Panetolikos are 10th on 9 points from 10 games; Volos NFC are bottom on 0 points from 10 games — Super League 1.
Panetolikos have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 0-3 defeat away to Aris Thessalonikis.
Volos NFC have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 1-3 defeat at home to Kifisia.
Last 6 meetings: Volos NFC 4 wins to 1, 1 draw; the most recent, 20 December 2025, ended Volos NFC 1–0 Panetolikos.

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Live win probability

From kick-off

From kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.

Model insights: Panetolikos vs Volos NFC

48%

Both teams to score

42%

Over 2.5 goals

58%

Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines

Panetolikos win Draw Volos NFC win

1–114%
1–012%
0–010%
0–19%
2–19%
2–08%
1–27%

Scores read Panetolikos first; the other scorelines share the remaining 31%. How to read this.

Has the model earned this number?

Panetolikos at 42%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Form going into Panetolikos vs Volos NFC

Panetolikos

Super League 1

L0-3away to Aris Thessalonikis7 November 2026
L0-1OFI1 November 2026
L0-5away to AEK Athens FC24 October 2026
L0-2Olympiakos Piraeus18 October 2026
L0-2away to Kifisia11 October 2026

Volos NFC

Super League 1

L1-3Kifisia7 November 2026
L0-3away to Atromitos2 November 2026
L0-1Panathinaikos25 October 2026
D0-0away to Levadiakos17 October 2026
L2-3away to Aris Thessalonikis11 October 2026

What these results say

Panetolikos did not win any of these 5 matches.
Panetolikos failed to score in every one of these 5 matches.
Panetolikos conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
Volos NFC did not win any of these 5 matches.
Volos NFC conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Super League 1 table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
10	Panetolikos	10	3	0	7	8	20	-12	9
14	Volos NFC	10	0	3	7	7	19	-12	0

Where the two sides stand. Full table

What's at stake

Panetolikos

Chance to finish in the bottom three · 52% today

Win 42%

Draw 56%

Defeat 61%

Volos NFC

Chance to finish in the bottom three · 95% today

Win 92%

Draw 96%

Defeat 97%

From our Super League 1 season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.

Head-to-head: Panetolikos vs Volos NFC

20 December 2025Volos NFC 1–0 PanetolikosSuper League 1
13 September 2025Panetolikos 1–2 Volos NFCSuper League 1
10 May 2025Panetolikos 0–3 Volos NFCSuper League 1
6 April 2025Volos NFC 0–0 PanetolikosSuper League 1
8 February 2025Volos NFC 0–1 PanetolikosSuper League 1
26 October 2024Panetolikos 0–1 Volos NFCSuper League 1

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Panetolikos Volos NFC

0.55 Attack strength (vs league average) 0.57

1.51 Defence strength (vs league average, lower = stronger) 1.66

1.35 Model expected goals (this match) 1.03

Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Panetolikos the highest probability at 42%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.35 expected goals for Panetolikos against 1.03 for Volos NFC. Panetolikos's attack/defence rating is 0.55/1.51 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.57/1.66 for Volos NFC.

How the model reaches 42% for Panetolikos to win

Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Panetolikos to win. Then home advantage adds 5 points, the level of the two sides takes away 1 point, Panetolikos's ratings add 1 point and Volos NFC's ratings add 1 point, which lands on the published 42%.

Two average sides, neutral ground36%
Home advantage41%+5
Both sides at this match's level40%−1
Panetolikos's ratings41%+1
Volos NFC's ratings42%+1

Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.

Goal trends

PanetolikosModelVolos NFC

Over 1.5 goals

90%

9 of 10 games

69%

model, this match

80%

8 of 10 games

Over 2.5 goals

50%

5 of 10 games

42%

model, this match

50%

5 of 10 games

Over 3.5 goals

30%

3 of 10 games

22%

model, this match

30%

3 of 10 games

Both teams score

20%

2 of 10 games

48%

model, this match

60%

6 of 10 games

Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.

Season stats

PanetolikosVolos NFC

10Matches10

3W 0D 7LRecord0W 3D 7L

8 0.8 per gameGoals scored7 0.7 per game

20 2.0 per gameGoals conceded19 1.9 per game

2 of 10Clean sheets1 of 10

6 of 10Failed to score4 of 10

–Penalties scored–

23 2.3 per gameYellow cards38 3.8 per game

1Red cards5

4-2-3-1 4×Usual shape4-2-3-1 6×

Panetolikos at home · Volos NFC away

5Played5

2W 0D 3LRecord0W 1D 4L

6–7Goals for – against3–11

1 of 5Clean sheets1 of 5

League matches only, Super League 1, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.

Position by match

PanetolikosVolos NFC

Panetolikos are 10th after 10 Super League 1 matches (between 1st and 10th so far); Volos NFC are 14th after 10 (between 14th and 14th). Points deductions (Volos NFC −3) count from the first match. How to read this.

Goals scored and conceded, by minute

All Super League 1 matches this season: Panetolikos 10, Volos NFC 10.

Panetolikos scored 110204

Volos NFC conceded 143235

Panetolikos score most often in the 76–90 minute window (4 goals); Volos NFC have let in 5 there.

Volos NFC scored 210104

Panetolikos conceded 334316

Volos NFC score most often in the 76–90 minute window (4 goals); Panetolikos have let in 6 there.

League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.

The next 5 matches, by difficulty

Panetolikos

at Iraklis 190828 Nov · Super League 1win 21%
vs Atromitos7 Dec · Super League 1win 28%
at Kalamata12 Dec · Super League 1win 22%
at Olympiakos Piraeus20 Dec · Super League 1win 8%
vs Kifisia10 Jan · Super League 1win 30%

Volos NFC

vs Asteras Tripolis28 Nov · Super League 1win 35%
at PAOK6 Dec · Super League 1win 9%
at AEK Athens FC13 Dec · Super League 1win 5%
vs Levadiakos19 Dec · Super League 1win 30%
at Iraklis 19089 Jan · Super League 1win 20%

Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.