Volos NFC
vs
Kifisia
Super League 1 prediction
Our model says: Volos NFC 1–0 Kifisia
The model makes it 35% Volos NFC, 30% draw, 35% Kifisia — fair odds of 2.86, 3.33 and 2.86. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Volos NFC 1.18, Kifisia 1.17.
Both teams to score: 48%. Over 2.5 goals: 42%, under 2.5: 58%.
Model confidence: Low — calls at this level have come off 38% of the time, over 957 settled matches.
A tight game: Volos NFC and Kifisia are within 3 points of each other, so the draw is a real outcome here.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 24 October 2026. Volos NFC's rating is built from 39 Greek Super League matches and Kifisia's from 43, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 520 matches.
Key facts
- Volos NFC are bottom on 0 points from 7 games; Kifisia are 10th on 8 points from 7 games — Super League 1.
- Volos NFC have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 0-0 draw away to Levadiakos.
- Kifisia have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-2 defeat at home to Aris Thessalonikis.
- Last 6 meetings: Kifisia 3 wins to 2, 1 draw; the most recent, 15 March 2026, ended Kifisia 2–0 Volos NFC.
More Greek Super League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Volos NFC vs Kifisia
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Volos NFC at 35% here. Across 4,534 settled matches (as of 24 October 2026), 3,490 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Volos NFC vs Kifisia
Volos NFC
Super League 1
- D0-0away to Levadiakos17 October 2026
- L2-3away to Aris Thessalonikis11 October 2026
- L1-2AEK Athens FC20 September 2026
- L1-3away to Kalamata13 September 2026
- D1-1Olympiakos Piraeus5 September 2026
Kifisia
Super League 1
- L1-2Aris Thessalonikis18 October 2026
- W2-0Panetolikos11 October 2026
- W2-1away to Atromitos19 September 2026
- D0-0Levadiakos13 September 2026
- L1-3away to Panathinaikos10 September 2026
What these results say
- Volos NFC did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Volos NFC scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Volos NFC conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Kifisia scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Volos NFC | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 0 |
| 10 | Kifisia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Volos NFC vs Kifisia
- 15 March 2026Kifisia 2–0 Volos NFCSuper League 1
- 6 January 2026Volos NFC 0–1 KifisiaCup
- 6 December 2025Volos NFC 1–1 KifisiaSuper League 1
- 30 March 2024Volos NFC 4–1 KifisiaSuper League 1
- 11 February 2024Kifisia 3–0 Volos NFCSuper League 1
- 28 October 2023Volos NFC 2–1 KifisiaSuper League 1
Leading scorers: Volos NFC and Kifisia
Volos NFC
GoalsAssists
- M. González20
Kifisia
GoalsAssists
- Jorge Pombo31
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Volos NFC carry a model rating of 6.38 against 6.49 for Kifisia. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.18 goals for Volos NFC and 1.17 for Kifisia. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Volos NFC rate 0.63 in attack and 1.60 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Kifisia rate 0.61 and 1.28.
Where the model differs from the table
The table and the model disagree here: the standings favour Kifisia, while our numbers lean the other way. The model weights recent expected goals rather than results already banked, so it moves before the table does.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 2,192 correct results out of 4,558 settled predictions (48%), with 452 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Volos NFC the highest probability at 35%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.18 expected goals for Volos NFC against 1.17 for Kifisia. Volos NFC's attack/defence rating is 0.63/1.6 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.61/1.28 for Kifisia.
How the model reaches 35% for Volos NFC to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Volos NFC to win. Then home advantage adds 5 points, Volos NFC's ratings take away 22 points and Kifisia's ratings add 16 points, which lands on the published 35%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage41%+5
- Volos NFC's ratings19%−22
- Kifisia's ratings35%+16
Each step adds one input to the step before. In another order the steps would differ in size; the end point would not.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Volos NFC at home · Kifisia away
League matches only, Super League 1, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Position by match
Volos NFCKifisia
Volos NFC are 14th after 7 Super League 1 matches (between 14th and 14th so far); Kifisia are 10th after 7 (between 7th and 11th). Rebuilt from the season's results after each side's matches (x-axis: that side's match number); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored. Points deductions (Volos NFC −3) count from the first match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Super League 1 matches this season: Volos NFC 7, Kifisia 7.
Volos NFC score most often in the 76–90 minute window (4 goals); Kifisia have let in 3 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
Volos NFC
- at Panetolikos22 Nov · Super League 1win 28%
- vs Asteras Tripolis28 Nov · Super League 1win 39%
- at PAOK6 Dec · Super League 1win 10%
Kifisia
- at PAOK22 Nov · Super League 1win 13%
- vs Kalamata28 Nov · Super League 1win 33%
- at Asteras Tripolis6 Dec · Super League 1win 33%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.