Istra 1961 sit 6th in the HNL on 9 points from 7 matches, having scored 14 and conceded 12. The model rates their attack at 0.65× the league average and their defence at 1.74× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — below average at both ends by these numbers. Across their last 5 league matches they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, most recently beating Rudes 3-2 at home. That is 1.29 points a match, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.71 per game across 2 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats. That leaves them 7 points behind HNK Hajduk Split at the top, in a table of 10. Among the 10 rated sides in the division that is the 3rd-best attack and the 7th-best defence. They scored in 4 of those 5 and kept 2 clean sheets. Next they host HNK Gorica in the HNL on 19 September 2026, a match the model gives them 41%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
HNL table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HNK Hajduk Split | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | +11 | 16 |
| 2 | NK Osijek | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | +6 | 15 |
| 3 | NK Varazdin | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 14 |
| 4 | Dinamo Zagreb | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | +7 | 13 |
| 5 | HNK Rijeka | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 12 | +2 | 9 |
| 7 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
| 8 | NK Slaven Belupo | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 6 |
| 9 | Rudes | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 22 | -14 | 3 |
| 10 | HNK Gorica | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 2 |
Istra 1961 sit 6 of 10, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- W3-2Rudes13 September 2026
- D0-0away to NK Varazdin4 September 2026
- D2-2Dinamo Zagreb29 August 2026
- L2-3away to HNK Rijeka23 August 2026
- W3-0NK Slaven Belupo15 August 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Istra 1961 vs HNK Gorica
Istra 1961 host HNK Gorica at Stadion Aldo Drosina, Pula on 19 September 2026, 18:00 UTC. The model makes it 41% Istra 1961, 28% draw and 31% HNK Gorica, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1. It projects 1.70 expected goals for Istra 1961 against 1.30. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Full preview and model analysis for Istra 1961 vs HNK Gorica
Recent meetings with HNK Gorica
- 27 April 2026HNK Gorica 1–0 Istra 1961HNL
- 21 February 2026Istra 1961 0–2 HNK GoricaHNL
- 23 November 2025HNK Gorica 1–0 Istra 1961HNL
- 29 August 2025Istra 1961 1–0 HNK GoricaHNL
- 12 April 2025HNK Gorica 3–2 Istra 1961HNL
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.
Upcoming fixtures
Recent results
Leading scorers
- E. Frederiksen7 goals2 assists
- H. Jaganjac4 goals1 assists
- D. Ahmeti2 goals3 assists
League goals this season.
