NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961 HNL prediction & result
Final score: NK Varazdin 0-0 Istra 1961.
Before kick-off the model made it 48% NK Varazdin, 27% draw, 25% Istra 1961 — fair odds of 2.08, 3.70 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts NK Varazdin at 48% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961
NK Varazdin
- W2-0Rudes29 August 2026
- L1-3away to Dinamo Zagreb22 August 2026
- W2-0HNK Rijeka16 August 2026
Istra 1961
- D2-2Dinamo Zagreb29 August 2026
- L2-3away to HNK Rijeka23 August 2026
- W3-0NK Slaven Belupo15 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
HNL table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | NK Varazdin | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 14 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 12 | +2 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961
- 23 May 2026NK Varazdin 2–0 Istra 1961HNL
- 20 March 2026Istra 1961 2–1 NK VarazdinHNL
- 19 December 2025NK Varazdin 1–3 Istra 1961HNL
- 3 October 2025Istra 1961 1–0 NK VarazdinHNL
- 11 May 2025Istra 1961 0–0 NK VarazdinHNL
- 8 March 2025NK Varazdin 0–0 Istra 1961HNL
Leading scorers: NK Varazdin and Istra 1961
NK Varazdin
- I. Canjuga3 goals2 assists
- L. Mamić3 goals
- A. Latković2 goals1 assists
Istra 1961
- E. Frederiksen7 goals2 assists
- H. Jaganjac4 goals1 assists
- D. Ahmeti2 goals3 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.