Dinamo Zagreb sit 4th in the HNL on 13 points from 6 matches, having scored 14 and conceded 7. The model rates their attack at 0.66× the league average and their defence at 1.41× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — below average at both ends by these numbers. Across their last 5 league matches they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, most recently losing to NK Osijek 2-4 away. That is 2.17 points a match, scoring 2.33 and conceding 1.17 per game across 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. That leaves them 3 points behind HNK Hajduk Split at the top, in a table of 10. Among the 10 rated sides in the division that is the 2nd-best attack and the 2nd-best defence. They scored in 5 of those 5 and kept 2 clean sheets. Next they travel to Hapoel Beer Sheva in the UEFA Europa League on 16 September 2026, a match the model gives them 30%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
HNL table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HNK Hajduk Split | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | +11 | 16 |
| 2 | NK Osijek | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | +6 | 15 |
| 3 | NK Varazdin | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 14 |
| 4 | Dinamo Zagreb | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | +7 | 13 |
| 5 | HNK Rijeka | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 12 | +2 | 9 |
| 7 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
| 8 | NK Slaven Belupo | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 6 |
| 9 | Rudes | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 22 | -14 | 3 |
| 10 | HNK Gorica | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 2 |
Dinamo Zagreb sit 4 of 10, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- L2-4away to NK Osijek12 September 2026
- W1-0HNK Gorica5 September 2026
- D2-2away to Istra 196129 August 2026
- W3-1NK Varazdin22 August 2026
- W4-0Rudes14 August 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Dinamo Zagreb vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
Dinamo Zagreb travel to Hapoel Beer Sheva at Rapid-Giulesti Stadium, Bucharest on 16 September 2026, 19:00 UTC. The model makes it 30% Dinamo Zagreb, 28% draw and 42% Hapoel Beer Sheva, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1. It projects 1.21 expected goals for Dinamo Zagreb against 1.67. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Full preview and model analysis for Dinamo Zagreb vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
Upcoming fixtures
Recent results
Leading scorers
- D. Beljo7 goals3 assists
League goals this season.
