Celtic sit 28th in the UEFA Europa League on 0 points from 1 match, having scored 1 and conceded 3. The model rates their attack at 0.89× the league average and their defence at 1.24× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — below average at both ends by these numbers. Their only league match so far ended in a defeat, losing to Ferencvarosi TC 1-3 at home. That leaves them 3 points behind Juventus at the top, in a table of 36. Among the 36 rated sides in the division that is the 18th-best attack and the 23rd-best defence. Next they host Rangers in the Premiership on 20 September 2026, a match the model gives them 49%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
UEFA Europa League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juventus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 2 | Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 3 | Sparta Praha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 4 | Beşiktaş | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 5 | Union St. Gilloise | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 6 | Ferencvarosi TC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 7 | Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 | Bayer Leverkusen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 | OFI | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 10 | Bournemouth | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 11 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 12 | Torreense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 14 | Red Bull Salzburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 | Omonia Nicosia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 16 | Sunderland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 17 | Dinamo Zagreb | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 | Rennes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 20 | Sturm Graz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 | Jagiellonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 | Anderlecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 23 | Lillestrom | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 24 | Real Sociedad | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 26 | Celta Vigo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 | Levski Sofia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 28 | Celtic | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 29 | Celje | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 30 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 31 | AC Milan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 | Marseille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 33 | Ararat-Armenia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 34 | Plzen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 35 | Lech Poznan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 |
| 36 | NEC Nijmegen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
Celtic sit 28 of 36, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- L1-3Ferencvarosi TC17 September 2026
Last 1 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Celtic vs Rangers
Celtic host Rangers at Celtic Park, Glasgow on 20 September 2026, 11:00 UTC. The model makes it 49% Celtic, 27% draw and 24% Rangers, with a most likely scoreline of 2-0. It projects 1.94 expected goals for Celtic against 0.99. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Full preview and model analysis for Celtic vs Rangers
Recent meetings with Rangers
- 13 September 2026Rangers 3–0 CelticLeague Cup
- 10 May 2026Celtic 3–1 RangersPremiership
- 8 March 2026Rangers 0–0 CelticFA Cup
- 1 March 2026Rangers 2–2 CelticPremiership
- 3 January 2026Celtic 1–3 RangersPremiership
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.