Aberdeen sit 11th in the Premiership on 11 points from 12 matches, having scored 12 and conceded 18. On the model's scale they rate 0.51 in attack and 1.68 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better), against Premiership averages of 0.67 and 1.53: below the division's average in attack, about average at the back. Across their last 5 league matches they have 1 win and 4 defeats, most recently losing to Hibernian 0-4 at home. That is 0.92 points a match, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.50 per game across 3 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats. That leaves them 20 points behind Celtic at the top, in a table of 12. Among the 12 rated sides in the division that is the 11th-best attack and the 11th-best defence. They scored in 2 of those 5 and kept 0 clean sheets. Next they travel to Kilmarnock in the Premiership on 21 November 2026, a match the model gives them 31%.
Model rating
One scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side — how the ratings are built.
Premiership table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Last 5 | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 28:10 | +18 | WWDLW | 31 |
| 2 | Rangers | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 21:9 | +12 | WDWDW | 27 |
| 3 | Falkirk | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20:14 | +6 | WWWWW | 21 |
| 4 | Heart of Midlothian | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 26:22 | +4 | WLWDL | 20 |
| 5 | Dundee | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18:15 | +3 | WDLWL | 17 |
| 6 | Dundee United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17:17 | 0 | WDWDD | 17 |
| 7 | St Johnstone | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 17:20 | -3 | DLDDW | 17 |
| 8 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12:22 | -10 | LWDLL | 14 |
| 9 | Motherwell | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | LLDWD | 13 |
| 10 | Hibernian | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15:17 | -2 | LLLDW | 11 |
| 11 | Aberdeen | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | LWLLL | 11 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13:29 | -16 | WLLDL | 9 |
- Championship group
- Relegation group
Aberdeen sit 11 of 12, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Position by match
Aberdeen have been between 2nd and 11th after each of their 12 Premiership matches; 11th now. Rebuilt from the season's results after each of Aberdeen's matches (x-axis); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored.
Recent league form
- L0-4Hibernian7 November 2026
- L0-1Falkirk28 October 2026
- L2-3away to Dundee United24 October 2026
- W3-1St Mirren17 October 2026
- L0-1St Johnstone11 October 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock
Aberdeen travel to Kilmarnock at Rugby Park, Kilmarnock on 21 November 2026, 15:00 UTC. The model makes it 31% Aberdeen, 26% draw and 43% Kilmarnock, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1. It projects 1.33 expected goals for Aberdeen against 1.65. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Full preview and model analysis for Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock
Recent meetings with Kilmarnock
- 12 September 2026Kilmarnock 1–1 AberdeenLeague Cup
- 5 September 2026Aberdeen 0–0 KilmarnockPremiership
- 25 April 2026Aberdeen 1–0 KilmarnockPremiership
- 31 January 2026Kilmarnock 3–0 AberdeenPremiership
- 14 December 2025Aberdeen 2–1 KilmarnockPremiership
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.
Other results that matter to Aberdeen
-
Celtic v St Mirren · 21 November 2026
Aberdeen fans want Celtic to win: that leaves Aberdeen's risk of a bottom-three finish at 60.4%, against 64.3% if St Mirren win (60.7% today).
Celtic win60.4%−0.3Draw61.1%+0.4St Mirren win64.3%+3.6 -
Hibernian v Dundee · 24 November 2026
Aberdeen fans want Dundee to win: that leaves Aberdeen's risk of a bottom-three finish at 58.8%, against 62.1% if Hibernian win (60.7% today).
Hibernian win62.1%+1.4Draw60.4%−0.3Dundee win58.8%−1.9 -
Hibernian v Dundee United · 21 November 2026
Aberdeen fans want a draw: that leaves Aberdeen's risk of a bottom-three finish at 59.2%, against 62.2% if Hibernian win (60.7% today).
Hibernian win62.2%+1.5Draw59.2%−1.5Dundee United win59.9%−0.8
From our season simulation, reading only the runs in which each result happened. A match is listed when it moves Aberdeen's figure by 2 points or more and both halves of the runs agree on which result helps.
Upcoming fixtures
Recent results
Leading scorer
K. Nisbet, with 4 league goals and 3 assists this season, is the club's only player among the 20 names on the division's scorer list.