Aberdeen sit 8th in the Premiership on 7 points from 6 matches, having scored 6 and conceded 7. The model rates their attack at 0.58× the league average and their defence at 1.50× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — below average at both ends by these numbers. Across their last 5 league matches they have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats, most recently beating Motherwell 4-0 away. That is 1.17 points a match, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.17 per game across 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats. That leaves them 11 points behind Celtic at the top, in a table of 12. Among the 12 rated sides in the division that is the 8th-best attack and the 3rd-best defence. They scored in 2 of those 5 and kept 3 clean sheets. Next they travel to Hibernian in the Premiership on 19 September 2026, a match the model gives them 33%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Premiership table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 3 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 | Rangers | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 13 |
| 3 | Heart of Midlothian | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 12 |
| 4 | St Mirren | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 10 |
| 5 | Motherwell | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
| 6 | Dundee | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 7 | St Johnstone | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 7 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 7 |
| 9 | Hibernian | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 |
| 10 | Falkirk | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
| 11 | Dundee United | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 4 |
Aberdeen sit 8 of 12, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- W4-0away to Motherwell15 September 2026
- D0-0Kilmarnock5 September 2026
- L0-3away to Celtic2 September 2026
- L0-1Rangers30 August 2026
- L0-2away to Dundee8 August 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Aberdeen vs Hibernian
Aberdeen travel to Hibernian at Easter Road, Edinburgh on 19 September 2026, 14:00 UTC. The model makes it 33% Aberdeen, 29% draw and 38% Hibernian, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1. It projects 1.32 expected goals for Aberdeen against 1.54. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Full preview and model analysis for Aberdeen vs Hibernian
Recent meetings with Hibernian
- 11 April 2026Aberdeen 2–0 HibernianPremiership
- 30 December 2025Hibernian 2–0 AberdeenPremiership
- 26 October 2025Aberdeen 1–2 HibernianPremiership
- 26 April 2025Aberdeen 1–0 HibernianPremiership
- 1 February 2025Hibernian 2–0 AberdeenPremiership
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.