Falkirk sit 10th in the Premiership on 5 points from 6 matches, having scored 5 and conceded 8. The model rates their attack at 0.57× the league average and their defence at 1.58× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — below average at both ends by these numbers. Across their last 5 league matches they have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats, most recently beating Heart of Midlothian 2-1 at home. That is 0.83 points a match, scoring 0.83 and conceding 1.33 per game across 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats. That leaves them 13 points behind Celtic at the top, in a table of 12. Among the 12 rated sides in the division that is the 9th-best attack and the 5th-best defence. They scored in 4 of those 5 and kept 1 clean sheet. Next they travel to St Johnstone in the Premiership on 19 September 2026, a match the model gives them 29%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Premiership table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 3 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 | Rangers | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 13 |
| 3 | Heart of Midlothian | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 12 |
| 4 | St Mirren | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 10 |
| 5 | Motherwell | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
| 6 | Dundee | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 7 | St Johnstone | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 7 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 7 |
| 9 | Hibernian | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 |
| 10 | Falkirk | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
| 11 | Dundee United | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 4 |
Falkirk sit 10 of 12, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- W2-1Heart of Midlothian15 September 2026
- D1-1away to Dundee United5 September 2026
- L1-2Rangers2 September 2026
- L1-2away to Celtic29 August 2026
- D0-0away to Motherwell9 August 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Falkirk vs St Johnstone
Falkirk travel to St Johnstone at McDiarmid Park, Perth on 19 September 2026, 14:00 UTC. The model makes it 29% Falkirk, 30% draw and 41% St Johnstone, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0. It projects 1.03 expected goals for Falkirk against 1.44. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 45%.
Full preview and model analysis for Falkirk vs St Johnstone
Recent meetings with St Johnstone
- 8 July 2025St Johnstone 0–1 FalkirkFriendlies Clubs
- 24 July 2018St Johnstone 1–0 FalkirkLeague Cup
The last 2 meetings between the two, most recent first.