Heart of Midlothian sit 3rd in the Premiership on 12 points from 6 matches, having scored 13 and conceded 7. The model rates their attack at 0.68× the league average and their defence at 1.73× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — below average at both ends by these numbers. Across their last 5 league matches they have 4 wins and 1 defeat, most recently losing to Falkirk 1-2 away. That is 2.00 points a match, scoring 2.17 and conceding 1.17 per game across 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats. That leaves them 6 points behind Celtic at the top, in a table of 12. Among the 12 rated sides in the division that is the 2nd-best attack and the 8th-best defence. They scored in 5 of those 5 and kept 1 clean sheet. Next they travel to Kilmarnock in the Premiership on 19 September 2026, a match the model gives them 35%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Premiership table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 3 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 | Rangers | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 13 |
| 3 | Heart of Midlothian | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 12 |
| 4 | St Mirren | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 10 |
| 5 | Motherwell | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
| 6 | Dundee | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 7 | St Johnstone | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 7 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 7 |
| 9 | Hibernian | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 |
| 10 | Falkirk | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
| 11 | Dundee United | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 4 |
Heart of Midlothian sit 3 of 12, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- L1-2away to Falkirk15 September 2026
- W2-1Dundee6 September 2026
- W3-1away to Hibernian3 September 2026
- W2-1St Johnstone29 August 2026
- W4-0Dundee United9 August 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Heart of Midlothian vs Kilmarnock
Heart of Midlothian travel to Kilmarnock at Rugby Park, Kilmarnock on 19 September 2026, 16:45 UTC. The model makes it 35% Heart of Midlothian, 28% draw and 37% Kilmarnock, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1. It projects 1.42 expected goals for Heart of Midlothian against 1.49. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Full preview and model analysis for Heart of Midlothian vs Kilmarnock
Recent meetings with Kilmarnock
- 14 March 2026Kilmarnock 1–0 Heart of MidlothianPremiership
- 3 December 2025Heart of Midlothian 1–1 KilmarnockPremiership
- 18 October 2025Kilmarnock 0–3 Heart of MidlothianPremiership
- 18 May 2025Kilmarnock 0–1 Heart of MidlothianPremiership
- 25 January 2025Heart of Midlothian 3–2 KilmarnockPremiership
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.
Upcoming fixtures
Recent results
Leading scorers
- J. McPake2 goals3 assists
- Cláudio Braga2 goals2 assists
- J. Wilson2 goals
- S. Kerjota1 goals1 assists
League goals this season.