Celtic vs Rangers Premiership prediction & result
Final score: Celtic 0-1 Rangers.
Before kick-off the model made it 50% Celtic, 27% draw, 23% Rangers — fair odds of 2.00, 3.70 and 4.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Scottish Premiership predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Celtic at 50% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Celtic vs Rangers
Line-ups
- 1V. SinisaloG
- 20C. Carter-VickersD
- 6A. TrustyD
- 5L. ScalesD
- 51Colby DonovanM
- 14L. McCowanM
- 42C. McGregorM
- 22M. BaurM
- 63K. TierneyM
- 8B. NygrenF
- 11C. DuránF
- 23H. HassanF
- 47D. MurrayD
- 49J. ForrestM
- 29Shumaira MheukaF
- 26S. JohnstoneG
- 9K. HøghF
- 56A. RalstonD
- 17S. TounektiF
- 21A. Oxlade-ChamberlainM
- 1I. PandurG
- 21D. SterlingD
- 37E. FernandezD
- 24O. MakhanyaD
- 29J. PenriceD
- 10Minsu KimM
- 6D. NeilM
- 43N. RaskinM
- 23D. GassamaM
- 20R. NaderiM
- 19K. KelsyF
- 26B. BouananiF
- 42T. ChukwuaniM
- 52Findlay CurtisF
- 14C. DevlinM
- 22V. DragojevićM
- 4B. GodfreyD
- 31L. KellyG
- 2R. McCrorieD
- 28B. MiovskiF
Form going into Celtic vs Rangers
Celtic
All competitions we cover
- L1-3Ferencvarosi TC17 September 2026
- W1-0away to St Johnstone9 September 2026
- W2-1away to St Mirren5 September 2026
- W3-0Aberdeen2 September 2026
- W2-1Falkirk29 August 2026
Rangers
All competitions we cover
- W1-0St Mirren9 September 2026
- W1-0Motherwell5 September 2026
- W2-1away to Falkirk2 September 2026
- W1-0away to Aberdeen30 August 2026
- L0-1away to FK Jablonec27 August 2026
What these results say
- Celtic scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Celtic won 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Celtic had three goals or more.
- Rangers won 4 of these 5 matches.
- Rangers scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Rangers had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premiership table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 8 | +19 | 28 |
| 2 | Rangers | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 9 | +10 | 24 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Celtic vs Rangers
- 13 September 2026Rangers 3–0 CelticLeague Cup
- 10 May 2026Celtic 3–1 RangersPremiership
- 8 March 2026Rangers 0–0 CelticFA Cup
- 1 March 2026Rangers 2–2 CelticPremiership
- 3 January 2026Celtic 1–3 RangersPremiership
Leading scorers: Celtic and Rangers
Celtic
GoalsAssists
- C. Durán75
- B. Nygren64
- K. Høgh33
Rangers
GoalsAssists
- R. Naderi53
- K. Kelsy40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Rangers won 1–0 at Celtic. The model had leaned towards a win for Celtic at 50% and given a win for Rangers 23%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goal: Ryan Naderi 33' for Rangers.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.