Arsenal sit 1st in the Premier League on 27 points from 10 matches, having scored 15 and conceded 5. On the model's scale they rate 1.38 in attack and 0.52 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better), against Premier League averages of 1.09 and 0.92: above the division's average at both ends. Across their last 5 league matches they have 5 wins, most recently beating Hull City 1-0 at home. That is 2.70 points a match, scoring 1.50 and conceding 0.50 per game across 9 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat. They lead the 20-team table, 5 points clear of Brighton. Among the 20 rated sides in the division that is the 3rd-best attack and the 1st-best defence. They scored in 5 of those 5 and kept 4 clean sheets. Next they travel to Newcastle in the Premier League on 21 November 2026, a match the model gives them 59%.
Model rating
One scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side — how the ratings are built.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Last 5 | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 15:5 | +10 | WWWWW | 27 |
| 2 | Brighton | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 26:7 | +19 | WWLWW | 22 |
| 3 | Manchester City | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21:13 | +8 | WWLLL | 21 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:10 | +4 | LWWLW | 18 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:16 | +3 | WWLWL | 16 |
| 6 | Everton | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12:10 | +2 | DLLWW | 16 |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:14 | +2 | LWWWW | 15 |
| 8 | Brentford | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 16:11 | +5 | DLDWL | 14 |
| 9 | Leeds | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10:8 | +2 | LDDLW | 14 |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14:17 | -3 | DWWDD | 13 |
| 11 | Tottenham | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | DWWWL | 12 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | LLWLD | 12 |
| 13 | Hull City | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | DLDDL | 11 |
| 14 | Ipswich | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:20 | -5 | WLDDL | 11 |
| 15 | Fulham | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | LWWDD | 10 |
| 16 | Nottingham Forest | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | LLDLW | 9 |
| 17 | Coventry | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | WLLWL | 9 |
| 18 | Manchester United | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 14:19 | -5 | DDLLD | 8 |
| 19 | Sunderland | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:17 | -9 | LLDLW | 8 |
| 20 | Crystal Palace | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10:24 | -14 | WLLLL | 7 |
- Champions League
- Europa League
- Relegation
Arsenal sit 1 of 20, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Position by match
Arsenal have been between 1st and 2nd after each of their 10 Premier League matches; 1st now. Rebuilt from the season's results after each of Arsenal's matches (x-axis); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored.
Recent league form
- W1-0Hull City7 November 2026
- W1-0away to Liverpool1 November 2026
- W2-0Everton24 October 2026
- W1-0away to Nottingham Forest18 October 2026
- W2-1Leeds10 October 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Arsenal vs Newcastle
Arsenal travel to Newcastle at St. James' Park, Newcastle on 21 November 2026, 17:30 UTC. The model makes it 59% Arsenal, 24% draw and 17% Newcastle, with a most likely scoreline of 0-2. It projects 2.03 expected goals for Arsenal against 0.84. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Full preview and model analysis for Arsenal vs Newcastle
Recent meetings with Newcastle
- 25 April 2026Arsenal 1–0 NewcastlePremier League
- 28 September 2025Newcastle 1–2 ArsenalPremier League
- 27 July 2025Arsenal 3–2 NewcastleFriendlies Clubs
- 18 May 2025Arsenal 1–0 NewcastlePremier League
- 5 February 2025Newcastle 2–0 ArsenalLeague Cup
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.
Other results that matter to Arsenal
-
Hull City v Brighton · 22 November 2026
Arsenal fans want Hull City to win: that leaves Arsenal's chance to win the league at 65.4%, against 60.6% if Brighton win (62.7% today).
Hull City win65.4%+2.7Draw65.0%+2.3Brighton win60.6%−2.1 -
Manchester City v Fulham · 21 November 2026
Arsenal fans want a draw: that leaves Arsenal's chance to win the league at 65.4%, against 61.7% if Manchester City win (62.7% today).
Manchester City win61.7%−1.0Draw65.4%+2.7Fulham win64.3%+1.6 -
Chelsea v Leeds · 21 November 2026
Arsenal fans want Chelsea to win: that leaves Arsenal's chance to win the league at 63.0%, against 60.9% after a draw (62.7% today).
Chelsea win63.0%+0.3Draw60.9%−1.8Leeds win62.8%+0.1
From our season simulation, reading only the runs in which each result happened. A match is listed when it moves Arsenal's figure by 2 points or more and both halves of the runs agree on which result helps.
Upcoming fixtures
Recent results
Leading scorers
- K. Havertz3 goals
- M. Ødegaard3 goals
League goals this season.
Head-to-head records
- Arsenal vs Everton5W 2D 0L7 meetings
- Arsenal vs Hull City6W 1D 0L7 meetings
- Arsenal vs Liverpool2W 3D 2L7 meetings
- Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest5W 2D 0L7 meetings
- Arsenal vs Aston Villa3W 1D 2L6 meetings
- Arsenal vs Borussia Dortmund3W 0D 3L6 meetings
- Arsenal vs Brighton3W 2D 1L6 meetings
- Arsenal vs Chelsea5W 1D 0L6 meetings
- Arsenal vs Leeds6W 0D 0L6 meetings
- Arsenal vs Newcastle4W 0D 2L6 meetings
Arsenal's record against each club, over the meetings on this site's own match record, which begins in July 2026. All head-to-head records.
