9 October 2026, 16:00 UTC

Arsenal vs Dinamo Brest Premier League prediction & result

Haradski Stadium, Barysaw
Full time0 – 1

Final score: Arsenal 0-1 Dinamo Brest.

Before kick-off the model made it 30% Arsenal, 25% draw, 45% Dinamo Brest — fair odds of 3.33, 4.00 and 2.22. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Dinamo Brest at 45% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Arsenal0%Draw4%Dinamo Brest96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

5'
Maksim·Kovel
15'
Dmitri Lutik
26'
⚽Roman Yuzepchukassist: Aleksey Butarevich
45'
🔁Roman Yuzepchukout: Egor Khralenkov
63'
🔁Roman Ermolinout: Ilya Vasin
63'
🔁Dzambolat·Tsallagovout: ivan oreshkevich
64'
🔁D. Kovalevichout: Dusan Bakic
67'
Nikita Stepanov
77'
🔁Maksim·Matveevout: Egor Bozhko
77'
🔁Daniel Volskiyout: Sergey Sazonchik
81'
🔁Egor Kortsovout: Lozhkin Vladzislau
89'
🔁Vladislav Vasilyevout: Denis Polyakov
89'
🔁Denis Levitskiyout: Vladislav Lyakh
89'
🔁Denis Grechikhoout: Nikita Burak
90+1'
Aleksey Butarevich

Match stats — Arsenal vs Dinamo Brest

0%Possession40%
0Shots0
0On target0
0Corners2

Line-ups

Dinamo Brest 3-5-2
  • 35I. MalashchitskiyG
  • 5M. KovelD
  • 18N. StepanovD
  • 36Guilherme GuedesD
  • 77R. YuzepchukM
  • 99I. ZenkovM
  • 19D. GrechikhoM
  • 44A. ButarevichM
  • 11D. LevitskiyM
  • 88D. KovalevichF
  • 24E. KortsovF
Substitutes
  • 7D. BakićF
  • 42N. BurakM
  • 6E. KhralenkovD
  • 25V. LozhkinF
  • 23V. LyakhD
  • 21A. NechaevG
  • 4Ž. PopovićM
  • 2A. RylachD
Coach: A. Sednev

Form going into Arsenal vs Dinamo Brest

Arsenal

  • L0-3away to Brighton19 September 2026
  • W2-0away to Sunderland12 September 2026
  • W1-0away to Napoli9 September 2026
  • W2-1Chelsea6 September 2026
  • W1-0away to Aston Villa31 August 2026

Dinamo Brest

  • W4-2FC Dnepr Mogilev20 September 2026
  • W1-0away to Dinamo Minsk13 September 2026
  • W1-0Bate Borisov7 September 2026
  • L1-3ML Vitebsk29 August 2026

What these results say

  • Arsenal won 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Arsenal scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Dinamo Brest scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Dinamo Brest won 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: Arsenal vs Dinamo Brest

  • 23 May 2026Dinamo Brest 3–0 Arsenal DzerzhinskPremier League
  • 2 August 2025Dinamo Brest 1–1 Arsenal DzerzhinskPremier League
  • 16 March 2025Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 1–1 Dinamo BrestPremier League
  • 7 February 2025Dinamo Brest 3–1 Arsenal DzerzhinskFriendlies Clubs
  • 22 September 2024Dinamo Brest 2–1 Arsenal DzerzhinskPremier League
  • 28 July 2024Dinamo Brest 4–1 Arsenal DzerzhinskCoppa
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.