Newcastle sit 12th in the Premier League on 12 points from 10 matches, having scored 13 and conceded 16. On the model's scale they rate 1.01 in attack and 1.07 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better), against Premier League averages of 1.09 and 0.92: about average in attack, below it at the back. Across their last 5 league matches they have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats, most recently drawing with Fulham 1-1 away. That is 1.20 points a match, scoring 1.30 and conceding 1.60 per game across 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats. That leaves them 15 points behind Arsenal at the top, in a table of 20. Among the 20 rated sides in the division that is the 11th-best attack and the 17th-best defence. They scored in 3 of those 5 and kept 1 clean sheet. Next they host Arsenal in the Premier League on 21 November 2026, a match the model gives them 17%.
Model rating
One scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side — how the ratings are built.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Last 5 | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 15:5 | +10 | WWWWW | 27 |
| 2 | Brighton | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 26:7 | +19 | WWLWW | 22 |
| 3 | Manchester City | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21:13 | +8 | WWLLL | 21 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:10 | +4 | LWWLW | 18 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:16 | +3 | WWLWL | 16 |
| 6 | Everton | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12:10 | +2 | DLLWW | 16 |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:14 | +2 | LWWWW | 15 |
| 8 | Brentford | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 16:11 | +5 | DLDWL | 14 |
| 9 | Leeds | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10:8 | +2 | LDDLW | 14 |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14:17 | -3 | DWWDD | 13 |
| 11 | Tottenham | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | DWWWL | 12 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | LLWLD | 12 |
| 13 | Hull City | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | DLDDL | 11 |
| 14 | Ipswich | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:20 | -5 | WLDDL | 11 |
| 15 | Fulham | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | LWWDD | 10 |
| 16 | Nottingham Forest | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | LLDLW | 9 |
| 17 | Coventry | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | WLLWL | 9 |
| 18 | Manchester United | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 14:19 | -5 | DDLLD | 8 |
| 19 | Sunderland | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:17 | -9 | LLDLW | 8 |
| 20 | Crystal Palace | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10:24 | -14 | WLLLL | 7 |
- Champions League
- Europa League
- Relegation
Newcastle sit 12 of 20, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Position by match
Newcastle have been between 3rd and 13th after each of their 10 Premier League matches; 11th after the latest, 12th now that other clubs have played since. Rebuilt from the season's results after each of Newcastle's matches (x-axis); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored.
Recent league form
- D1-1away to Fulham7 November 2026
- L0-1Everton2 November 2026
- W2-0away to Crystal Palace25 October 2026
- L0-1Aston Villa17 October 2026
- L1-4away to Coventry12 October 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Newcastle vs Arsenal
Newcastle host Arsenal at St. James' Park, Newcastle on 21 November 2026, 17:30 UTC. The model makes it 17% Newcastle, 24% draw and 59% Arsenal, with a most likely scoreline of 0-2. It projects 0.84 expected goals for Newcastle against 2.03. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Full preview and model analysis for Newcastle vs Arsenal
Recent meetings with Arsenal
- 25 April 2026Arsenal 1–0 NewcastlePremier League
- 28 September 2025Newcastle 1–2 ArsenalPremier League
- 27 July 2025Arsenal 3–2 NewcastleFriendlies Clubs
- 18 May 2025Arsenal 1–0 NewcastlePremier League
- 5 February 2025Newcastle 2–0 ArsenalLeague Cup
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.
Other results that matter to Newcastle
-
Brentford v Everton · 23 November 2026
Newcastle fans want a draw: that leaves Newcastle's risk of a bottom-three finish at 21.1%, against 23.1% if Everton win (22.0% today).
Brentford win21.9%−0.1Draw21.1%−0.9Everton win23.1%+1.1
From our season simulation, reading only the runs in which each result happened. A match is listed when it moves Newcastle's figure by 2 points or more and both halves of the runs agree on which result helps.
Upcoming fixtures
Recent results
Head-to-head records
- Newcastle vs Everton1W 2D 5L8 meetings
- Newcastle vs Aston Villa3W 1D 3L7 meetings
- Newcastle vs Crystal Palace4W 1D 2L7 meetings
- Newcastle vs Fulham3W 1D 3L7 meetings
- Newcastle vs Arsenal2W 0D 4L6 meetings
- Newcastle vs Bournemouth0W 4D 2L6 meetings
- Newcastle vs Hull City4W 2D 0L6 meetings
- Newcastle vs Leeds2W 3D 1L6 meetings
- Newcastle vs Liverpool1W 2D 3L6 meetings
- Newcastle vs Tottenham4W 2D 0L6 meetings
Newcastle's record against each club, over the meetings on this site's own match record, which begins in July 2026. All head-to-head records.