Premier League (England)

1. Manchester City — 21 points from 8 played (7 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost), 20 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference +11. Form, oldest first: W W W W L.
2. Arsenal — 21 points from 8 played (7 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost), 13 scored, 5 conceded, goal difference +8. Form, oldest first: W L W W W.
3. Brighton — 16 points from 8 played (5 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost), 23 scored, 7 conceded, goal difference +16. Form, oldest first: W W W W L.
4. Liverpool — 15 points from 8 played (4 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost), 11 scored, 8 conceded, goal difference +3. Form, oldest first: D W L W W.
5. Chelsea — 13 points from 8 played (4 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost), 17 scored, 15 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: D L W W L.
6. Brentford — 11 points from 8 played (2 won, 5 drawn, 1 lost), 14 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference +5. Form, oldest first: D W D L D.
7. Leeds — 11 points from 8 played (2 won, 5 drawn, 1 lost), 9 scored, 6 conceded, goal difference +3. Form, oldest first: W D L D D.
8. Newcastle — 11 points from 8 played (3 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost), 12 scored, 14 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: L W L L W.
9. Aston Villa — 11 points from 8 played (3 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost), 9 scored, 12 conceded, goal difference -3. Form, oldest first: L W D W W.
10. Hull City — 10 points from 8 played (2 won, 4 drawn, 2 lost), 9 scored, 8 conceded, goal difference +1. Form, oldest first: D L D L D.
11. Everton — 10 points from 8 played (2 won, 4 drawn, 2 lost), 8 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: D W D L L.
12. Ipswich — 10 points from 8 played (3 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost), 12 scored, 16 conceded, goal difference -4. Form, oldest first: W L W L D.
13. Bournemouth — 9 points from 8 played (2 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost), 12 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: D L L W W.
14. Tottenham — 9 points from 8 played (2 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost), 8 scored, 10 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: D L D W W.
15. Fulham — 8 points from 8 played (2 won, 2 drawn, 4 lost), 8 scored, 10 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: D D L W W.
16. Manchester United — 7 points from 8 played (1 won, 4 drawn, 3 lost), 10 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference -3. Form, oldest first: L D D D L.
17. Crystal Palace — 7 points from 8 played (2 won, 1 drawn, 5 lost), 9 scored, 19 conceded, goal difference -10. Form, oldest first: L D W L L.
18. Nottingham Forest — 6 points from 8 played (1 won, 3 drawn, 4 lost), 6 scored, 10 conceded, goal difference -4. Form, oldest first: W L L L D.
19. Coventry — 6 points from 8 played (2 won, 0 drawn, 6 lost), 6 scored, 15 conceded, goal difference -9. Form, oldest first: L W W L L.
20. Sunderland — 5 points from 8 played (1 won, 2 drawn, 5 lost), 6 scored, 14 conceded, goal difference -8. Form, oldest first: L L L L D.

What moved

Measured against 2026-10-29, the last update whose numbers changed — not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried forward rather than restamped. 11 clubs moved in all; the rest are in the projection below.

• Bournemouth — bottom-three risk up 0.4, to 5.7%.
• Fulham — bottom-three risk down 0.3, to 21.4%.
• Coventry — bottom-three risk down 0.2, to 60.9%.
• Manchester City — title chance down 0.2, to 38.5%.
• Arsenal — title chance up 0.1, to 49.7%.

Season projection

Every one of the 300 matches this competition has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. Movement is measured against 2026-10-29, the last update whose numbers changed.

1. Arsenal — projected to finish on 84.4 points, from 21 after 8 played. Wins it 49.7% (up 0.1), finishes top four 97.7%, bottom three 0%.
2. Manchester City — projected to finish on 82.3 points, from 21 after 8 played. Wins it 38.5% (down 0.2), finishes top four 95.2%, bottom three 0%.
3. Brighton — projected to finish on 70.8 points, from 16 after 8 played. Wins it 6.3% (up 0.1), finishes top four 70.4%, bottom three 0.1%.
4. Liverpool — projected to finish on 68.5 points, from 15 after 8 played. Wins it 4.2%, finishes top four 58.7%, bottom three 0%.
5. Aston Villa — projected to finish on 59.8 points, from 11 after 8 played. Wins it 0.6%, finishes top four 23%, bottom three 0.7%.
6. Brentford — projected to finish on 55.7 points, from 11 after 8 played. Wins it 0.3%, finishes top four 11.9%, bottom three 1.3%.
7. Chelsea — projected to finish on 55.4 points, from 13 after 8 played. Wins it 0.2%, finishes top four 12.8%, bottom three 1.9%.
8. Manchester United — projected to finish on 54.6 points, from 7 after 8 played. Wins it 0.1%, finishes top four 10%, bottom three 2.2%.
9. Leeds — projected to finish on 53.2 points, from 11 after 8 played. Wins it 0.1%, finishes top four 7.5%, bottom three 2.7%.
10. Bournemouth — projected to finish on 50.8 points, from 9 after 8 played. Wins it 0.1%, finishes top four 5.2%, bottom three 5.7%.
11. Hull City — projected to finish on 47.2 points, from 10 after 8 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 1.5%, bottom three 9%.
12. Newcastle — projected to finish on 45.3 points, from 11 after 8 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 1.4%, bottom three 16.2%.
13. Everton — projected to finish on 45.1 points, from 10 after 8 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 1.7%, bottom three 15.8%.
14. Ipswich — projected to finish on 43.9 points, from 10 after 8 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 1.1%, bottom three 20.2%.
15. Tottenham — projected to finish on 43.4 points, from 9 after 8 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 1.1%, bottom three 20.1%.
16. Nottingham Forest — projected to finish on 42.4 points, from 6 after 8 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 0.4%, bottom three 20.8%.
17. Fulham — projected to finish on 41.9 points, from 8 after 8 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 0.3%, bottom three 21.4%.
18. Sunderland — projected to finish on 37.8 points, from 5 after 8 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 0.1%, bottom three 39.8%.
19. Coventry — projected to finish on 33.7 points, from 6 after 8 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 60.9%.
20. Crystal Palace — projected to finish on 33.6 points, from 7 after 8 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 0.1%, bottom three 61.4%.

Top scorers

1. E. Haaland (Manchester City) — 9 goals.
2. A. Isak (Liverpool) — 6 goals.
3. João Pedro (Chelsea) — 5 goals, 3 assists.
4. M. Tavernier (Bournemouth) — 5 goals.
5. R. Cherki (Manchester City) — 4 goals, 2 assists.
6. M. Rogers (Chelsea) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
7. B. Mbeumo (Manchester United) — 4 goals.
8. N. Jackson (Aston Villa) — 4 goals.
9. Evanilson (Bournemouth) — 3 goals, 4 assists.
10. C. Kostoulas (Brighton) — 3 goals, 2 assists.
11. M. Belloumi (Hull City) — 3 goals, 2 assists.
12. Pedro Neto (Chelsea) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
13. D. Calvert-Lewin (Leeds) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
14. K. Schade (Brentford) — 3 goals.
15. T. Barry (Everton) — 3 goals.
16. B. Brobbey (Sunderland) — 3 goals.
17. J. Hinshelwood (Brighton) — 3 goals.
18. P. Groß (Brighton) — 3 goals, 4 assists.
19. Bruno Fernandes (Manchester United) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
20. B. Saka (Arsenal) — 3 goals.