Finnish Premier League

1. Inter Turku — 52 points from 27 played (14 won, 10 drawn, 3 lost), 33 scored, 18 conceded, goal difference +15. Form, oldest first: L W W D W.
2. HJK Helsinki — 48 points from 27 played (14 won, 6 drawn, 7 lost), 49 scored, 32 conceded, goal difference +17. Form, oldest first: W D D W W.
3. KuPS — 48 points from 27 played (13 won, 9 drawn, 5 lost), 41 scored, 26 conceded, goal difference +15. Form, oldest first: D D W L L.
4. Gnistan — 42 points from 27 played (11 won, 9 drawn, 7 lost), 40 scored, 33 conceded, goal difference +7. Form, oldest first: D W D D L.
5. VPS — 39 points from 27 played (11 won, 6 drawn, 10 lost), 31 scored, 31 conceded, goal difference 0. Form, oldest first: W L L L W.
6. AC Oulu — 37 points from 27 played (11 won, 4 drawn, 12 lost), 30 scored, 33 conceded, goal difference -3. Form, oldest first: L L L W L.

What moved

Measured against 2026-10-15, the last update whose numbers changed — not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried forward rather than restamped.

• HJK Helsinki — chance of finishing top down 0.5, to 13.5%.
• Inter Turku — chance of finishing top up 0.3, to 75.7%.
• KuPS — chance of finishing top up 0.2, to 10.8%.
• Gnistan — chance of finishing top up 0.1, to 0.1%.

Season projection

Every one of the 15 matches this phase has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. These figures cover the Championship Group only. Movement is measured against 2026-10-15, the last update whose numbers changed.

1. Inter Turku — projected to finish on 61.6 points, from 52 after 27 played. Finishes top of the Championship Group 75.7% (up 0.3), finishes top three 99.9%.
2. HJK Helsinki — projected to finish on 56.4 points, from 48 after 27 played. Finishes top of the Championship Group 13.5% (down 0.5), finishes top three 97.1%.
3. KuPS — projected to finish on 56.1 points, from 48 after 27 played. Finishes top of the Championship Group 10.8% (up 0.2), finishes top three 95.9%.
4. Gnistan — projected to finish on 47.9 points, from 42 after 27 played. Finishes top of the Championship Group 0.1% (up 0.1), finishes top three 6.7%.
5. VPS — projected to finish on 43.8 points, from 39 after 27 played. Finishes top of the Championship Group 0%, finishes top three 0.4%.
6. AC Oulu — projected to finish on 41.8 points, from 37 after 27 played. Finishes top of the Championship Group 0%, finishes top three 0.1%.

Top scorers

1. M. Borchers (HJK Helsinki) — 9 goals, 1 assist.
2. T. Hytönen (Ilves) — 8 goals.
3. H. Sjögrell (Inter Turku) — 6 goals, 2 assists.
4. J. Moreno (KuPS) — 5 goals.
5. L. Smyth (VPS) — 5 goals.
6. T. Pukki (HJK Helsinki) — 4 goals, 2 assists.
7. Martim Ferreira (Lahti) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
8. J. Kanga (Ilves) — 4 goals, 3 assists.
9. E. Tamminen (Ilves) — 3 goals, 2 assists.
10. J. Luyeye-Lutumba (KuPS) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
11. M. Stjopin (Ilves) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
12. A. Muzaci (Turku PS) — 3 goals.
13. A. Akinyemi (Gnistan) — 3 goals.
14. C. Jephta (Inter Turku) — 3 goals.
15. B. Armah (KuPS) — 3 goals.
16. R. Riski (AC Oulu) — 3 goals.
17. P. Pennanen (KuPS) — 2 goals, 3 assists.
18. E. Mastokangas (SJK) — 2 goals, 2 assists.
19. J. Körkkö (AC Oulu) — 2 goals, 2 assists.
20. J. Streng (SJK) — 2 goals, 1 assist.