Ligue 1 (France)

1. Paris Saint Germain — 20 points from 9 played (6 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost), 21 scored, 10 conceded, goal difference +11. Form, oldest first: W W W W W.
2. Rennes — 16 points from 9 played (5 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost), 20 scored, 19 conceded, goal difference +1. Form, oldest first: L W L W L.
3. Lille — 15 points from 8 played (4 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost), 11 scored, 6 conceded, goal difference +5. Form, oldest first: W L W D D.
4. Monaco — 15 points from 8 played (4 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost), 11 scored, 7 conceded, goal difference +4. Form, oldest first: D W D L D.
5. Lyon — 14 points from 8 played (4 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost), 13 scored, 7 conceded, goal difference +6. Form, oldest first: D W L W L.
6. Paris FC — 14 points from 8 played (4 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost), 13 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference +4. Form, oldest first: D W L W L.
7. Nice — 14 points from 9 played (4 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost), 13 scored, 12 conceded, goal difference +1. Form, oldest first: W W L W W.
8. Lens — 13 points from 8 played (4 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost), 16 scored, 12 conceded, goal difference +4. Form, oldest first: D L W W W.
9. Marseille — 12 points from 8 played (4 won, 0 drawn, 4 lost), 18 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference +5. Form, oldest first: L L W W W.
10. Lorient — 12 points from 8 played (3 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost), 7 scored, 6 conceded, goal difference +1. Form, oldest first: D L W W D.
11. Toulouse — 10 points from 8 played (2 won, 4 drawn, 2 lost), 12 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference +1. Form, oldest first: D W D W D.
12. Auxerre — 10 points from 8 played (3 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost), 12 scored, 18 conceded, goal difference -6. Form, oldest first: W W L W D.
13. Stade Brestois 29 — 9 points from 8 played (2 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost), 14 scored, 12 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: L L W D L.
14. Angers — 8 points from 8 played (2 won, 2 drawn, 4 lost), 9 scored, 15 conceded, goal difference -6. Form, oldest first: D W L L D.
15. Le Mans — 7 points from 8 played (1 won, 4 drawn, 3 lost), 11 scored, 16 conceded, goal difference -5. Form, oldest first: D W L L D.
16. Strasbourg — 7 points from 8 played (2 won, 1 drawn, 5 lost), 12 scored, 18 conceded, goal difference -6. Form, oldest first: D L L L L.
17. Estac Troyes — 5 points from 8 played (1 won, 2 drawn, 5 lost), 5 scored, 16 conceded, goal difference -11. Form, oldest first: L L L L D.
18. Le Havre — 2 points from 9 played (0 won, 2 drawn, 7 lost), 9 scored, 20 conceded, goal difference -11. Form, oldest first: L L L L L.

What moved

Measured against 2026-10-30, the last update whose numbers changed — not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried forward rather than restamped. 17 clubs moved in all; the rest are in the projection below.

• Le Havre — bottom-three risk up 15.2, to 75.1%.
• Paris Saint Germain — chance of finishing top up 11, to 78.5%.
• Nice — chance of finishing top up 0.1, to 0.1%; bottom-three risk down 9, to 3.4%.
• Stade Brestois 29 — chance of finishing top down 0.2, to 0%; bottom-three risk down 3.9, to 9.2%.
• Strasbourg — bottom-three risk down 3.6, to 7.4%.

Season projection

Every one of the 232 matches this phase has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. These figures cover the regular season only. The regular season is not the end of the competition: Final follow it, and no projection here covers them. Movement is measured against 2026-10-30, the last update whose numbers changed.

1. Paris Saint Germain — projected to finish on 76.5 points, from 20 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 78.5% (up 11), finishes top three 96.5%, bottom two 0%.
2. Lille — projected to finish on 60.4 points, from 15 after 8 played. Finishes top of the regular season 4.6% (down 2.9), finishes top three 40%, bottom two 0%.
3. Monaco — projected to finish on 60.3 points, from 15 after 8 played. Finishes top of the regular season 5.3% (down 1.6), finishes top three 38.7%, bottom two 0%.
4. Paris FC — projected to finish on 59.1 points, from 14 after 8 played. Finishes top of the regular season 3.8% (down 2.7), finishes top three 34%, bottom two 0.1%.
5. Lyon — projected to finish on 56.3 points, from 14 after 8 played. Finishes top of the regular season 2.2%, finishes top three 22.9%, bottom two 0%.
6. Lens — projected to finish on 56 points, from 13 after 8 played. Finishes top of the regular season 3.4% (up 0.1), finishes top three 24%, bottom two 0.1%.
7. Marseille — projected to finish on 55 points, from 12 after 8 played. Finishes top of the regular season 1.1% (down 1.2), finishes top three 20.8%, bottom two 0.1%.
8. Rennes — projected to finish on 52.5 points, from 16 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.6% (down 2.8), finishes top three 13.5%, bottom two 0.4%.
9. Lorient — projected to finish on 46 points, from 12 after 8 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0% (down 0.2), finishes top three 1.7%, bottom two 1.1%.
10. Nice — projected to finish on 45.5 points, from 14 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1% (up 0.1), finishes top three 2.2%, bottom two 1%.
11. Toulouse — projected to finish on 44.3 points, from 10 after 8 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.2%, finishes top three 2.3%, bottom two 2.7%.
12. Strasbourg — projected to finish on 43.3 points, from 7 after 8 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1%, finishes top three 1.8%, bottom two 2.9%.
13. Stade Brestois 29 — projected to finish on 41.5 points, from 9 after 8 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0% (down 0.2), finishes top three 1.2%, bottom two 3.9%.
14. Auxerre — projected to finish on 37.6 points, from 10 after 8 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top three 0.3%, bottom two 10.5%.
15. Le Mans — projected to finish on 35.2 points, from 7 after 8 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top three 0.1%, bottom two 16.7%.
16. Angers — projected to finish on 30.4 points, from 8 after 8 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top three 0%, bottom two 34.4%.
17. Le Havre — projected to finish on 26 points, from 2 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top three 0%, bottom two 57.3%.
18. Estac Troyes — projected to finish on 24.5 points, from 5 after 8 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top three 0%, bottom two 68.9%.

Top scorers

1. E. Lepaul (Rennes) — 7 goals.
2. L. Sinayoko (Paris FC) — 6 goals, 4 assists.
3. C. Archer (Auxerre) — 5 goals.
4. A. Gouiri (Marseille) — 5 goals, 2 assists.
5. C. Tengstedt (Toulouse) — 5 goals, 1 assist.
6. Ferran Torres (Paris Saint Germain) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
7. Paris Josua Brunner (Monaco) — 4 goals.
8. K. Doumbia (Stade Brestois 29) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
9. L. Mafouta (Le Mans) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
10. F. Thauvin (Lens) — 4 goals, 7 assists.
11. A. Bourabaa (Le Mans) — 3 goals, 2 assists.
12. L. Ajorque (Stade Brestois 29) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
13. E. Wahi (Nice) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
14. S. Szymański (Rennes) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
15. E. Nuamah (Lyon) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
16. B. Dia (Rennes) — 3 goals.
17. Marquinhos (Paris Saint Germain) — 3 goals.
18. D. Namaso (Auxerre) — 3 goals, 2 assists.
19. J. Maja (Le Havre) — 3 goals.
20. H. Abdelli (Marseille) — 3 goals.