League Tables

Championship

The table as it stands, and where the model expects it to finish. Projections are final positions, not qualification or relegation. How the model works.

  1. West Ham — 14 points from 7 played (4 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost), 20 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference +11. Form, oldest first: D W W W W.
  2. Swansea — 14 points from 7 played (4 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost), 11 scored, 5 conceded, goal difference +6. Form, oldest first: W W D L W.
  3. West Brom — 14 points from 7 played (4 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost), 10 scored, 7 conceded, goal difference +3. Form, oldest first: L D W W D.
  4. Middlesbrough — 13 points from 6 played (4 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost), 12 scored, 8 conceded, goal difference +4. Form, oldest first: L W D W W.
  5. QPR — 12 points from 7 played (3 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost), 8 scored, 5 conceded, goal difference +3. Form, oldest first: W W L D D.
  6. Charlton — 12 points from 7 played (3 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost), 6 scored, 7 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: W D L D D.
  7. Wolves — 11 points from 6 played (3 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost), 14 scored, 10 conceded, goal difference +4. Form, oldest first: W W L D W.
  8. Southampton — 10 points from 7 played (4 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost), 18 scored, 8 conceded, goal difference +10. Form, oldest first: W D D W W.
  9. Birmingham — 10 points from 7 played (2 won, 4 drawn, 1 lost), 10 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference +1. Form, oldest first: W D D L W.
  10. Stoke City — 10 points from 7 played (3 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost), 11 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference 0. Form, oldest first: L W W D W.
  11. Bristol City — 10 points from 6 played (3 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost), 10 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: D W W W L.
  12. Norwich — 9 points from 7 played (3 won, 0 drawn, 4 lost), 13 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference 0. Form, oldest first: W L W W L.
  13. Millwall — 9 points from 6 played (3 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost), 11 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference 0. Form, oldest first: W L L W L.
  14. Sheffield Utd — 9 points from 7 played (2 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost), 8 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: D W L W L.
  15. Blackburn — 8 points from 7 played (2 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost), 10 scored, 10 conceded, goal difference 0. Form, oldest first: L D L L W.
  16. Lincoln — 8 points from 6 played (2 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost), 5 scored, 6 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: L W D D W.
  17. Watford — 8 points from 7 played (2 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost), 7 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: D L L W L.
  18. Portsmouth — 7 points from 6 played (2 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost), 7 scored, 8 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: W L L W D.
  19. Wrexham — 7 points from 7 played (1 won, 4 drawn, 2 lost), 7 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference -4. Form, oldest first: L W D D L.
  20. Bolton — 7 points from 7 played (2 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost), 7 scored, 12 conceded, goal difference -5. Form, oldest first: L L L L W.
  21. Cardiff — 4 points from 7 played (0 won, 4 drawn, 3 lost), 7 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference -4. Form, oldest first: D L L D L.
  22. Derby — 4 points from 7 played (1 won, 1 drawn, 5 lost), 6 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference -7. Form, oldest first: L W L L L.
  23. Preston — 3 points from 7 played (1 won, 0 drawn, 6 lost), 6 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference -7. Form, oldest first: L L W L L.
  24. Burnley — 3 points from 7 played (0 won, 3 drawn, 4 lost), 8 scored, 16 conceded, goal difference -8. Form, oldest first: L D L D L.

What moved

Measured against 2026-09-13, the last update whose numbers changed — not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried forward rather than restamped. 24 clubs moved in all; the rest are in the projection below.

  • Derby — chance of finishing top down 0.4, to 0%; bottom-three risk up 32.5, to 49.2%.
  • Burnley — chance of finishing top up 0.1, to 0.1%; bottom-three risk down 31.2, to 23.1%.
  • Preston — bottom-three risk up 26.2, to 71.8%.
  • Southampton — chance of finishing top up 23.2, to 35.3%; bottom-three risk down 0.7, to 0%.
  • West Ham — chance of finishing top down 14.4, to 9.1%.

Season projection

Every one of the 471 matches this phase has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. These figures cover the regular season only. The regular season is not the end of the competition: Semi-finals, Final follow it, and no projection here covers them. Movement is measured against 2026-09-13, the last update whose numbers changed.

  1. Southampton — projected to finish on 80.7 points, from 10 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 35.3% (up 23.2), finishes top four 76.4%, bottom three 0%.
  2. Middlesbrough — projected to finish on 76.8 points, from 13 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 16.9% (down 5.7), finishes top four 56.6%, bottom three 0.1%.
  3. Swansea — projected to finish on 74.9 points, from 14 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 11.3% (up 5.7), finishes top four 46.5%, bottom three 0.1%.
  4. West Ham — projected to finish on 73.5 points, from 14 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 9.1% (down 14.4), finishes top four 41.1%, bottom three 0.2%.
  5. Stoke City — projected to finish on 72.3 points, from 10 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 6.7% (up 5), finishes top four 34.5%, bottom three 0.3%.
  6. Wolves — projected to finish on 71.9 points, from 11 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 6.2% (down 4.1), finishes top four 32.2%, bottom three 0.3%.
  7. West Brom — projected to finish on 71.7 points, from 14 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 5.9% (up 3.4), finishes top four 31%, bottom three 0.4%.
  8. QPR — projected to finish on 67.9 points, from 12 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 2.3% (up 0.1), finishes top four 17.1%, bottom three 0.8%.
  9. Norwich — projected to finish on 65.1 points, from 9 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 1.1% (down 1.5), finishes top four 10%, bottom three 2.1%.
  10. Charlton — projected to finish on 65 points, from 12 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 1%, finishes top four 8.3%, bottom three 2.3%.
  11. Birmingham — projected to finish on 64.8 points, from 10 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 1% (down 1.6), finishes top four 9.5%, bottom three 2.5%.
  12. Lincoln — projected to finish on 64.8 points, from 8 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.8% (down 0.8), finishes top four 9.2%, bottom three 2.3%.
  13. Bristol City — projected to finish on 64.1 points, from 10 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.8% (down 1.9), finishes top four 7.9%, bottom three 3.2%.
  14. Millwall — projected to finish on 64 points, from 9 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.9% (down 3.6), finishes top four 8%, bottom three 3.2%.
  15. Portsmouth — projected to finish on 60.3 points, from 7 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.3% (down 0.2), finishes top four 3.5%, bottom three 7.7%.
  16. Watford — projected to finish on 59.6 points, from 8 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.2%, finishes top four 2.5%, bottom three 8.4%.
  17. Blackburn — projected to finish on 58.9 points, from 8 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1% (down 0.2), finishes top four 1.9%, bottom three 10.2%.
  18. Wrexham — projected to finish on 58.1 points, from 7 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1% (down 0.9), finishes top four 1.8%, bottom three 11.6%.
  19. Sheffield Utd — projected to finish on 57 points, from 9 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1% (down 2), finishes top four 1%, bottom three 14%.
  20. Burnley — projected to finish on 54.7 points, from 3 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1% (up 0.1), finishes top four 0.8%, bottom three 23.1%.
  21. Bolton — projected to finish on 50.7 points, from 7 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0% (down 0.1), finishes top four 0.1%, bottom three 40.9%.
  22. Cardiff — projected to finish on 49.6 points, from 4 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0% (down 0.1), finishes top four 0.1%, bottom three 45.7%.
  23. Derby — projected to finish on 49.1 points, from 4 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0% (down 0.4), finishes top four 0.1%, bottom three 49.2%.
  24. Preston — projected to finish on 44.6 points, from 3 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 71.8%.

Top scorers

  1. C. Larin (Southampton) — 7 goals.
  2. W. Lankshear (Middlesbrough) — 5 goals.
  3. M. Touré (Norwich) — 4 goals.
  4. J. Bowen (West Ham) — 4 goals, 3 assists.
  5. F. Azaz (Southampton) — 3 goals, 4 assists.
  6. J. Morgan (West Brom) — 3 goals, 3 assists.
  7. Fer López (Wolves) — 3 goals, 2 assists.
  8. A. Idah (Swansea) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
  9. A. Guðjohnsen (Blackburn) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
  10. Amin Nabizada (Watford) — 3 goals.
  11. C. Lang (Preston) — 3 goals.
  12. E. Galbraith (Stoke City) — 3 goals.
  13. J. Piroe (West Ham) — 3 goals.
  14. K. Mavropanos (West Ham) — 3 goals.
  15. Tyreece Anthony Tupac Shakur Campbell (Charlton) — 3 goals.
  16. L. Dykes (Millwall) — 3 goals.
  17. R. Jiménez (Wolves) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
  18. E. Bocat (Stoke City) — 2 goals, 2 assists.
  19. B. Clark (Derby) — 2 goals, 2 assists.
  20. Eom Ji-Sung (Swansea) — 2 goals, 2 assists.

Other competitions

All 51 competitions we cover.