- Saint Etienne — 15 points from 6 played (5 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost), 17 scored, 6 conceded, goal difference +11. Form, oldest first: W W W W L.
- Reims — 12 points from 6 played (3 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost), 14 scored, 8 conceded, goal difference +6. Form, oldest first: D W W D W.
- Montpellier — 11 points from 6 played (3 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost), 5 scored, 4 conceded, goal difference +1. Form, oldest first: W W D L W.
- RED Star FC 93 — 11 points from 6 played (3 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost), 6 scored, 6 conceded, goal difference 0. Form, oldest first: D D L W W.
- Annecy — 10 points from 6 played (3 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost), 8 scored, 7 conceded, goal difference +1. Form, oldest first: W L D W L.
- Metz — 9 points from 6 played (2 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost), 8 scored, 5 conceded, goal difference +3. Form, oldest first: D D D W L.
- Sochaux — 9 points from 6 played (2 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost), 3 scored, 4 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: D W D D W.
- Dunkerque — 8 points from 6 played (2 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost), 10 scored, 10 conceded, goal difference 0. Form, oldest first: D L L D W.
- Guingamp — 8 points from 6 played (2 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost), 9 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference 0. Form, oldest first: W L D D W.
- Nancy — 7 points from 6 played (2 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost), 4 scored, 4 conceded, goal difference 0. Form, oldest first: L W W L L.
- Rodez — 7 points from 6 played (2 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost), 11 scored, 12 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: L W D L L.
- Grenoble — 7 points from 6 played (2 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost), 7 scored, 10 conceded, goal difference -3. Form, oldest first: D L W L W.
- Dijon — 6 points from 6 played (1 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost), 8 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: L D L D W.
- Boulogne — 5 points from 6 played (0 won, 5 drawn, 1 lost), 2 scored, 3 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: L D D D D.
- PAU — 5 points from 6 played (1 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost), 4 scored, 6 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: W L D D L.
- Clermont Foot — 5 points from 6 played (0 won, 5 drawn, 1 lost), 3 scored, 5 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: L D D D D.
- Nantes — 4 points from 6 played (1 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost), 7 scored, 12 conceded, goal difference -5. Form, oldest first: L L D W L.
- Laval — 4 points from 6 played (1 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost), 7 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference -6. Form, oldest first: W D L L L.
What moved
Measured against 2026-09-14, the last update whose numbers changed —
not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried
forward rather than restamped. 15 clubs moved in all; the rest are in the projection below.
- RED Star FC 93 — chance of finishing top up 0.1, to 0.1%; bottom-three risk down 6, to 5.3%.
- Laval — bottom-three risk up 0.9, to 61.8%.
- Rodez — bottom-three risk up 0.9, to 50%.
- PAU — bottom-three risk up 0.8, to 35.1%.
- Nantes — bottom-three risk up 0.7, to 69%.
Season projection
Every one of the 252 matches this phase has left,
played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each
side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a
title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those
depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. These figures cover the regular season only. The regular season is not the end of the competition: Promotion - Playoffs, Final follow it, and no projection here covers them. Movement is measured against 2026-09-14, the last update whose numbers changed.
- Saint Etienne — projected to finish on 75.9 points, from 15 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 97.9% (down 0.1), finishes top four 99.9%, bottom three 0%.
- Montpellier — projected to finish on 53.6 points, from 11 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.7%, finishes top four 51.6%, bottom three 0.5%.
- Reims — projected to finish on 53.2 points, from 12 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.6%, finishes top four 50%, bottom three 0.7%.
- Dijon — projected to finish on 50.3 points, from 6 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.2%, finishes top four 34.7%, bottom three 2.2%.
- Annecy — projected to finish on 49.8 points, from 10 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.2%, finishes top four 29.9%, bottom three 2.7%.
- Sochaux — projected to finish on 48.2 points, from 9 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1%, finishes top four 22.3%, bottom three 4.2%.
- Dunkerque — projected to finish on 48 points, from 8 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1%, finishes top four 22.1%, bottom three 4.7%.
- RED Star FC 93 — projected to finish on 47.4 points, from 11 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1% (up 0.1), finishes top four 18.3%, bottom three 5.3%.
- Grenoble — projected to finish on 46.8 points, from 7 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 16.5%, bottom three 6%.
- Metz — projected to finish on 46.2 points, from 9 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 15.3%, bottom three 6.8%.
- Clermont Foot — projected to finish on 44.9 points, from 5 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1%, finishes top four 11.6%, bottom three 9.8%.
- Nancy — projected to finish on 44.3 points, from 7 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 9.7%, bottom three 11.3%.
- Boulogne — projected to finish on 43.9 points, from 5 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 8.5%, bottom three 12.2%.
- Guingamp — projected to finish on 42.7 points, from 8 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 6.1%, bottom three 17.6%.
- PAU — projected to finish on 38.9 points, from 5 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 1.9%, bottom three 35.1%.
- Rodez — projected to finish on 36.6 points, from 7 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.7%, bottom three 50%.
- Laval — projected to finish on 34.8 points, from 4 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.5%, bottom three 61.8%.
- Nantes — projected to finish on 33.5 points, from 4 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.3%, bottom three 69%.
Top scorers
- Y. Fofana (Reims) — 5 goals.
- P. Fall (Metz) — 5 goals.
- I. Baldé (Rodez) — 5 goals.
- I. Cardona (Saint Etienne) — 4 goals, 4 assists.
- T. Ballo (Saint Etienne) — 4 goals, 2 assists.
- A. Boakye (Saint Etienne) — 3 goals, 2 assists.
- B. Leye (PAU) — 3 goals.
- Samy Olivier Chouchane (Dijon) — 3 goals.
- E. Clavreul (Laval) — 2 goals, 3 assists.
- J. Breum (Saint Etienne) — 2 goals, 2 assists.
- Y. El Kachati (Reims) — 2 goals, 1 assist.
- E. Prutsev (Dunkerque) — 2 goals, 1 assist.
- D. Gomis (Guingamp) — 2 goals, 1 assist.
- S. Keita (Dunkerque) — 2 goals, 1 assist.
- W. Younoussa (Nantes) — 2 goals, 1 assist.
- M. Houdayer (Laval) — 2 goals.
- C. Roubiou (Rodez) — 2 goals.
- S. Kielt (Guingamp) — 2 goals.
- O. Joly (Rodez) — 2 goals.
- T. Rambaud (Annecy) — 2 goals.