Fixtures & Predictions

Veikkausliiga predictions

14 matches ahead, from 7 October to 17 October, each with the model's win / draw / win split and most likely score. The clearest favourite: KuPS, 54% against AC Oulu. 3 are marked Tight game — the two sides within 3 points, where the draw is a real outcome. How the model works.

1 home · X draw · 2 away — fair odds, times in UTC

Wednesday 7 October — 1 match

  • 16:00 UTC Gnistan vs Inter Turku — model 30% / 28% / 42%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.33 · 3.57 · 2.38.

Thursday 8 October — 2 matches

  • 15:00 UTC HJK Helsinki vs VPS — model 45% / 27% / 28%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.22 · 3.70 · 3.57.
  • 16:00 UTC KuPS vs AC Oulu — model 54% / 26% / 20%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.85 · 3.85 · 5.00.

Friday 9 October — 1 match

  • 15:00 UTC SJK vs Lahti — model 35% / 29% / 36%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 2.86 · 3.45 · 2.78. Tight game · draw in reach

Saturday 10 October — 2 matches

  • 14:00 UTC Turku PS vs FF Jaro — model 49% / 28% / 23%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.04 · 3.57 · 4.35.
  • 16:00 UTC Mariehamn vs Ilves — model 26% / 25% / 49%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.85 · 4.00 · 2.04.

Sunday 11 October — 1 match

  • 12:00 UTC Inter Turku vs KuPS — model 40% / 30% / 30%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.50 · 3.33 · 3.33.

Monday 12 October — 2 matches

  • 15:00 UTC VPS vs Gnistan — model 37% / 28% / 35%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.70 · 3.57 · 2.86. Tight game · draw in reach
  • 16:00 UTC AC Oulu vs HJK Helsinki — model 29% / 28% / 43%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.45 · 3.57 · 2.33.

Saturday 17 October — 5 matches

  • 11:00 UTC Ilves vs SJK — model 46% / 25% / 29%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.17 · 4.00 · 3.45.
  • 11:00 UTC Lahti vs Turku PS — model 40% / 31% / 29%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.50 · 3.23 · 3.45.
  • 11:00 UTC FF Jaro vs Mariehamn — model 37% / 28% / 35%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.70 · 3.57 · 2.86. Tight game · draw in reach
  • 13:00 UTC HJK Helsinki vs Gnistan — model 44% / 26% / 30%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.27 · 3.85 · 3.33.
  • 15:00 UTC Inter Turku vs AC Oulu — model 54% / 27% / 19%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 1.85 · 3.70 · 5.26.

Last round: the model's hits and misses

18–19 September: the model called the result of 1 of 6 matches, 1 of them to the exact score.

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