AC Oulu vs Inter Turku Finnish Premier League prediction & result
Final score: AC Oulu 0-1 Inter Turku.
Before kick-off the model made it 32% AC Oulu, 31% draw, 37% Inter Turku — fair odds of 3.13, 3.23 and 2.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
All Finnish Premier League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Inter Turku at 37% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — AC Oulu vs Inter Turku
Line-ups
- 13Miguel SantosG
- 16O. KemppainenD
- 5M. PitkänenD
- 66J. PirinenD
- 18Adramane CassamáD
- 22T. KaukuaM
- 25M. ArsaloM
- 6J. PaananenM
- 27E. KallioM
- 7R. KarjalainenM
- 9R. RiskiF
- 23S. Ala-IsoD
- 14N. JokelainenM
- 36J. LotvonenM
- 21I. MendolinM
- 8M. OjalaM
- 99N. SchulzG
- 29S. SilanderD
- 2S. SipolaD
- 10C. TrianaF
- 1E. HuuhtanenG
- 5A. GranlundD
- 22L. KuittinenD
- 6R. IvanovD
- 2J. NiskaD
- 14J. LaineM
- 17B. AmpofoM
- 33Muhammed SusoM
- 9J. TuominenM
- 16C. JephtaM
- 10Alie ContehF
- 8J. Yli-KokkoM
- 12E. VuorjokiG
- 24J. TauriainenD
- 7H. SjögrellM
- 20A. SandlerD
- 19I. JärvinenM
- 11J. BotuéF
- 30Y. AmankwahD
- 4P. AhiabuM
Form going into AC Oulu vs Inter Turku
AC Oulu
All competitions we cover
- L1-2Gnistan12 September 2026
- L0-1away to VPS8 September 2026
- D0-0SJK31 August 2026
- W1-0away to FF Jaro22 August 2026
- L2-3Inter Turku16 August 2026
Inter Turku
All competitions we cover
- W1-0VPS14 September 2026
- L1-2away to HJK Helsinki9 September 2026
- W1-0KuPS31 August 2026
- L1-4away to FC Copenhagen27 August 2026
- D0-0away to Turku PS23 August 2026
What these results say
- AC Oulu failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Inter Turku scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Finnish Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | AC Oulu | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 44 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 37 | 24 | +13 | 55 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: AC Oulu vs Inter Turku
- 16 August 2026AC Oulu 2–3 Inter TurkuFinnish Premier League
- 13 June 2026Inter Turku 0–0 AC OuluFinnish Premier League
- 21 March 2026Inter Turku 2–1 AC OuluLeague Cup
- 8 August 2025Inter Turku 3–2 AC OuluFinnish Premier League
- 26 April 2025AC Oulu 1–4 Inter TurkuFinnish Premier League
Leading scorers: AC Oulu and Inter Turku
AC Oulu
GoalsAssists
- R. Karjalainen36
Inter Turku
GoalsAssists
- H. Sjögrell72
- Alie Conteh30
- C. Jephta30
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Inter Turku won 1–0 at AC Oulu. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Inter Turku at 37%. The goal: Jasse Tuominen 39' for Inter Turku.
How the call on AC Oulu v Inter Turku has moved
First published on 4 Sep at 36% / 31% / 33% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 32% / 31% / 37%: the biggest move is AC Oulu's chance of winning, down 4 points.
- AC Oulu win32%▼ −4
- Draw31%=
- Inter Turku win37%▲ +4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.