Gnistan vs Inter Turku Finnish Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Gnistan 0-0 Inter Turku.
Before kick-off the model made it 30% Gnistan, 28% draw, 42% Inter Turku — fair odds of 3.33, 3.57 and 2.38.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Inter Turku at 42%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Gnistan vs Inter Turku
Line-ups
- 1O. VirtanenG
- 19B. MilovanovD
- 24P. GnanouD
- 67A. ObileyeD
- 3RuxiD
- 12E. Arko-MensahD
- 7A. AtarahM
- 31A. JouhiM
- 15G. EuropaeusM
- 23S. YlätupaM
- 10J. LatonenF
- 2B. DahlströmD
- 26R. EremenkoM
- 14S. EremenkoM
- 27O. HannulaM
- 95M. JuriÄkaG
- 40J. OjalaD
- 11D. PérezF
- 25Noah RossiD
- 1E. HuuhtanenG
- 18S. SaarinenD
- 22L. KuittinenD
- 6R. IvanovD
- 2J. NiskaD
- 14J. LaineM
- 17B. AmpofoM
- 7H. SjögrellM
- 9J. TuominenM
- 16C. JephtaM
- 10Alie ContehF
- 12E. VuorjokiG
- 24J. TauriainenD
- 33Muhammed SusoF
- 28L. LaineF
- 35Eeli KiiskiläM
- 19I. JärvinenM
- 5A. GranlundD
- 11J. BotuéF
- 30Y. AmankwahD
Form going into Gnistan vs Inter Turku
Gnistan
All competitions we cover
- D1-1HJK Helsinki18 September 2026
- W2-1away to AC Oulu12 September 2026
- D1-1KuPS8 September 2026
- D1-1Turku PS31 August 2026
- W3-2away to HJK Helsinki23 August 2026
Inter Turku
All competitions we cover
- W1-0away to AC Oulu18 September 2026
- W1-0VPS14 September 2026
- L1-2away to HJK Helsinki9 September 2026
- W1-0KuPS31 August 2026
- L1-4away to FC Copenhagen27 August 2026
What these results say
- Gnistan went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Gnistan scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Gnistan conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Inter Turku scored in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Finnish Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Gnistan | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 52 | 47 | +5 | 46 |
| 1 | Inter Turku | 32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 43 | 27 | +16 | 61 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Gnistan vs Inter Turku
- 26 July 2026Inter Turku 1–2 GnistanFinnish Premier League
- 5 May 2026Gnistan 2–0 Inter TurkuFinnish Premier League
- 17 January 2026Gnistan 0–3 Inter TurkuLeague Cup
- 22 October 2025Inter Turku 2–1 GnistanFinnish Premier League
- 13 September 2025Gnistan 0–2 Inter TurkuFinnish Premier League
Leading scorers: Gnistan and Inter Turku
Gnistan
GoalsAssists
- A. Akinyemi50
- A. Jouhi31
Inter Turku
GoalsAssists
- H. Sjögrell82
- Alie Conteh40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Gnistan and Inter Turku drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Inter Turku at 42% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.