Real Betis
vs
Feyenoord
UEFA Champions League prediction
Our model says: Real Betis 2–1 Feyenoord
The model makes it 46% Real Betis, 25% draw, 29% Feyenoord — fair odds of 2.17, 4.00 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Real Betis 1.95, Feyenoord 1.43.
Both teams to score: 66%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%, under 2.5: 34%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Real Betis are 12th on 3 points from 1 game; Feyenoord are 33rd on 0 points from 1 game — UEFA Champions League.
- Real Betis are unbeaten in their last 5 games (4 won), most recently a 5-2 win at home to Osasuna.
- Feyenoord are unbeaten in their last 5 games (4 won), most recently a 2-0 win at home to AZ Alkmaar.
More Champions League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Real Betis vs Feyenoord
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Real Betis at 46% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 1,712 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Real Betis vs Feyenoord
Real Betis
- W3-2away to Lille8 September 2026
Feyenoord
- L1-5away to Barcelona9 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
UEFA Champions League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Real Betis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 33 | Feyenoord | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Real Betis vs Feyenoord
- 29 January 2026Real Betis 2–1 FeyenoordUEFA Europa League
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Real Betis carry a model rating of 7.06 against 7.08 for Feyenoord. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 1.95 goals for Real Betis and 1.43 for Feyenoord. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Real Betis rate 1.26 in attack and 0.82 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Feyenoord rate 1.26 and 0.80.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,774 correct results out of 3,712 settled predictions (48%), with 376 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Real Betis the highest probability at 46%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.95 expected goals for Real Betis against 1.43 for Feyenoord. Real Betis's attack/defence rating is 1.26/0.82 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 1.26/0.8 for Feyenoord.
Season stats
Real Betis at home · Feyenoord away
League matches only, this season — Real Betis in the La Liga, Feyenoord in the Eredivisie. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All league matches this season: Real Betis 8 in the La Liga, Feyenoord 8 in the Eredivisie.
Real Betis score most often in the 31–45 minute window (7 goals); Feyenoord have let in 1 there.
Feyenoord score most often in the 61–75 minute window (7 goals); Real Betis have let in 1 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
Real Betis
- at Celta Vigo25 Oct · La Ligawin 37%
- vs Malaga31 Oct · La Ligawin 68%
- at Borussia Dortmund4 Nov · UEFA Champions Leaguewin 22%
Feyenoord
- at PSV Eindhoven25 Oct · Eredivisiewin 30%
- vs Fortuna Sittard31 Oct · Eredivisiewin 71%
- vs Inter3 Nov · UEFA Champions Leaguewin 37%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.