Remo
vs
RB Bragantino
Serie A prediction
Our model says: Remo 1–0 RB Bragantino
The model makes it 37% Remo, 30% draw, 33% RB Bragantino — fair odds of 2.70, 3.33 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Remo 1.33, RB Bragantino 1.20.
Both teams to score: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%, under 2.5: 54%.
Model confidence: Low.
Published
Key facts
- Remo are 19th on 23 points from 28 games; RB Bragantino are 11th on 36 points from 28 games — Serie A.
- Remo have not won in their last 5, most recently a 1-2 defeat at home to Santos.
- RB Bragantino have not won in their last 5, most recently a 0-1 defeat away to Atletico Mineiro.
All Brazilian Serie A predictions →
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: Remo vs RB Bragantino
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Remo at 37% here. Across 3,018 settled matches (as of 4 October 2026), 2,372 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Remo vs RB Bragantino
Remo
- L1-2Santos19 September 2026
- L1-2away to Bahia14 September 2026
- L0-1Flamengo6 September 2026
- L2-3Coritiba31 August 2026
- L1-2away to Fluminense22 August 2026
RB Bragantino
- L0-1away to Atletico Mineiro3 October 2026
- L1-2away to Flamengo20 September 2026
- D1-1away to Botafogo12 September 2026
- L2-3Bahia5 September 2026
- L1-2away to Sao Paulo29 August 2026
What these results say
- Remo did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Remo conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Remo scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- RB Bragantino did not win any of these 5 matches.
- RB Bragantino conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- RB Bragantino scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Remo | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 23 |
| 11 | RB Bragantino | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 33 | 32 | +1 | 36 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Remo vs RB Bragantino
- 19 April 2026RB Bragantino 4–2 RemoSerie A
Leading scorers: Remo and RB Bragantino
Remo
- Jája Silva7 goals1 assist
RB Bragantino
No player in Serie A's leading scorers — 33 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Remo carry a model rating of 6.57 against 6.7 for RB Bragantino. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.33 goals for Remo and 1.20 for RB Bragantino. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Remo rate 0.78 in attack and 1.36 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; RB Bragantino rate 0.79 and 1.08.
Where the model differs from the table
The table and the model disagree here: the standings favour RB Bragantino, while our numbers lean the other way. The model weights recent expected goals rather than results already banked, so it moves before the table does.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,418 correct results out of 3,018 settled predictions (47%), with 294 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Remo the highest probability at 37%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.33 expected goals for Remo against 1.20 for RB Bragantino. Remo's attack/defence rating is 0.78/1.36 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.79/1.08 for RB Bragantino.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Remo at home · RB Bragantino away
League matches only, Serie A, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Serie A matches this season: Remo 28, RB Bragantino 28.
Remo score most often in the 76–90 minute window (9 goals); RB Bragantino have let in 6 there.
RB Bragantino score most often in the 31–45 minute window (9 goals); Remo have let in 9 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
Remo
- at Cruzeiro25 Oct · Serie Awin 21%
- vs Botafogo28 Oct · Serie Awin 37%
- at Palmeiras4 Nov · Serie Awin 16%
RB Bragantino
- at Palmeiras25 Oct · Serie Awin 19%
- vs Chapecoense28 Oct · Serie Awin 50%
- vs Santos4 Nov · Serie Awin 39%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.