St. Louis City sit 5th in the Major League Soccer on 41 points from 25 matches, having scored 42 and conceded 35. The model rates their attack at 0.75× the league average and their defence at 1.33× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — below average at both ends by these numbers. Across their last 5 league matches they have 3 wins and 2 draws, most recently beating Minnesota United FC 4-2 at home. That is 1.64 points a match, scoring 1.68 and conceding 1.40 per game across 11 wins, 8 draws and 6 defeats. That leaves them 5 points behind Vancouver Whitecaps at the top, in a table of 15. Among the 15 rated sides in the division that is the 3rd-best attack and the 4th-best defence. They scored in 5 of those 5 and kept 0 clean sheets. Next they host Toronto FC in the Major League Soccer on 20 September 2026, a match the model gives them 44%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 53 | 23 | +30 | 46 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 32 | 28 | +4 | 43 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 49 | 42 | +7 | 43 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 44 | 36 | +8 | 41 |
| 5 | St. Louis City | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 42 | 35 | +7 | 41 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 41 | 27 | +14 | 40 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 25 | 11 | 2 | 12 | 33 | 32 | +1 | 35 |
| 8 | Portland Timbers | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 32 |
| 9 | San Diego | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 30 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 30 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 29 |
| 12 | Minnesota United FC | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Austin | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 29 |
| 14 | Seattle Sounders | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 28 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 26 | 59 | -33 | 18 |
St. Louis City sit 5 of 15, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- W4-2Minnesota United FC13 September 2026
- D2-2away to Portland Timbers10 September 2026
- W3-1away to Vancouver Whitecaps6 September 2026
- D3-3FC Dallas30 August 2026
- W2-1Houston Dynamo23 August 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: St. Louis City vs Toronto FC
St. Louis City host Toronto FC at CITYPARK, Saint Louis on 20 September 2026, 00:30 UTC. The model makes it 44% St. Louis City, 28% draw and 28% Toronto FC, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1. It projects 1.81 expected goals for St. Louis City against 1.22. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Full preview and model analysis for St. Louis City vs Toronto FC