Qarabag sit 4th in the Premyer Liqa on 19 points from 10 matches, having scored 14 and conceded 8. On the model's scale they rate 0.85 in attack and 1.10 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better), against Premyer Liqa averages of 0.63 and 1.58: above the division's average at both ends. Across their last 5 league matches they have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat, most recently losing to Turan 0-1 at home. That is 1.90 points a match, scoring 1.40 and conceding 0.80 per game across 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat. That leaves them 5 points behind Neftchi Baku at the top, in a table of 12. Among the 12 rated sides in the division that is the 3rd-best attack and the 2nd-best defence. They scored in 2 of those 5 and kept 3 clean sheets. Next they travel to Kapaz in the Premyer Liqa on 22 November 2026, a match the model gives them 51%.
Model rating
One scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side — how the ratings are built.
Premyer Liqa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Last 5 | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Baku | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 26:11 | +15 | DDDWW | 24 |
| 2 | Turan | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 12:8 | +4 | WLDWW | 21 |
| 3 | Sabah FA | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 22:6 | +16 | DWDLD | 21 |
| 4 | Qarabag | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 14:8 | +6 | WDDDL | 19 |
| 5 | Zira | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 16:15 | +1 | DDWDW | 19 |
| 6 | Kapaz | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | WDWWL | 17 |
| 7 | Şamaxı FK | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 17:16 | +1 | DWLLD | 14 |
| 8 | Imisli FK | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9:15 | -6 | LWWLD | 11 |
| 9 | Sumqayıt | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | WWLDD | 10 |
| 10 | Qabala | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6:18 | -12 | LLWDL | 8 |
| 11 | Safa Baku | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8:20 | -12 | LLLDD | 5 |
| 12 | Araz | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11:23 | -12 | LLLDD | 4 |
- Champions League qualifying
- Conference League qualifying
- Relegation
Qarabag sit 4 of 12, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- L0-1Turan6 November 2026
- D0-0away to Qabala31 October 2026
- D0-0away to Sabah FA25 October 2026
- D3-3Neftchi Baku17 October 2026
- W2-0away to Imisli FK11 October 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Qarabag vs Kapaz
Qarabag travel to Kapaz at Ganja City Stadium, Tovuz on 22 November 2026, 13:00 UTC. The model makes it 51% Qarabag, 28% draw and 21% Kapaz, with a most likely scoreline of 0-1. It projects 1.56 expected goals for Qarabag against 0.82. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 45% and over 2.5 goals at 42%.
Full preview and model analysis for Qarabag vs Kapaz
Recent meetings with Kapaz
- 20 March 2026Kapaz 1–0 QarabagPremyer Liqa
- 24 January 2026Qarabag 0–2 KapazPremyer Liqa
- 4 October 2025Qarabag 1–0 KapazPremyer Liqa
- 18 May 2025Qarabag 3–0 KapazPremyer Liqa
- 15 March 2025Kapaz 0–0 QarabagPremyer Liqa
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.
Other results that matter to Qarabag
-
Sumqayıt v Sabah FA · 20 November 2026
Qarabag fans want Sumqayıt to win: that leaves Qarabag's chance to finish top of the regular season at 25.0%, against 17.7% if Sabah FA win (19.7% today).
Sumqayıt win25.0%+5.3Draw22.4%+2.7Sabah FA win17.7%−2.0 -
Araz v Neftchi Baku · 22 November 2026
Qarabag fans want a draw: that leaves Qarabag's chance to finish top of the regular season at 22.6%, against 18.8% if Neftchi Baku win (19.7% today).
Araz win21.1%+1.4Draw22.6%+2.9Neftchi Baku win18.8%−0.9
From our season simulation, reading only the runs in which each result happened. A match is listed when it moves Qarabag's figure by 2 points or more and both halves of the runs agree on which result helps.