Safa Baku sit 10th in the Premyer Liqa on 3 points from 6 matches, having scored 2 and conceded 11. On the model's scale they rate 0.40 in attack and 1.79 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better), against Premyer Liqa averages of 0.64 and 1.57: below the division's average at both ends. Across their last 5 league matches they have 1 win and 4 defeats, most recently losing to Qarabag 0-1 away. That is 0.50 points a match, scoring 0.33 and conceding 1.83 per game across 1 win, 0 draws and 5 defeats. That leaves them 12 points behind Neftchi Baku at the top, in a table of 12. Among the 12 rated sides in the division that is the 12th-best attack and the 9th-best defence. They scored in 2 of those 5 and kept 1 clean sheet. Next they host Turan in the Premyer Liqa on 11 October 2026, a match the model gives them 27%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, on one scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side, so clubs in lower divisions read below it — how the ratings are built.
Premyer Liqa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Last 5 | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Baku | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 18:5 | +13 | WLWWW | 15 |
| 2 | Sabah FA | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14:1 | +13 | WWWWW | 15 |
| 3 | Qarabag | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | +5 | WWWDW | 13 |
| 4 | Turan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | +2 | DLWDW | 11 |
| 5 | Zira | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | WWLDL | 10 |
| 6 | Şamaxı FK | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:6 | +2 | DDWDW | 9 |
| 7 | Kapaz | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | LWLWD | 7 |
| 8 | Qabala | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2:7 | -5 | LDWLL | 4 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | LWLLL | 4 |
| 10 | Safa Baku | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2:11 | -9 | WLLLL | 3 |
| 11 | Sumqayıt | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | LLLDD | 2 |
| 12 | Araz | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:13 | -8 | LLLDL | 2 |
- Champions League qualifying
- Conference League qualifying
- Relegation
Safa Baku sit 10 of 12, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- L0-1away to Qarabag18 September 2026
- L0-3Sabah FA14 September 2026
- L1-4away to Neftchi Baku5 September 2026
- L0-1Imisli FK29 August 2026
- W1-0away to Qabala22 August 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Safa Baku vs Turan
Safa Baku host Turan at ASK Arena, Baku on 11 October 2026, 14:30 UTC. The model makes it 27% Safa Baku, 32% draw and 41% Turan, with a most likely scoreline of 0-1. It projects 0.81 expected goals for Safa Baku against 1.25. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 40% and over 2.5 goals at 34%.
Full preview and model analysis for Safa Baku vs Turan