Neftchi Baku sit 2nd in the Premyer Liqa on 18 points from 9 matches, having scored 22 and conceded 9. On the model's scale they rate 0.93 in attack and 1.34 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better), against Premyer Liqa averages of 0.63 and 1.58: above the division's average at both ends. Across their last 5 league matches they have 2 wins and 3 draws, most recently drawing with Turan 1-1 at home. That is 2.00 points a match, scoring 2.44 and conceding 1.00 per game across 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat. That leaves them 2 points behind Sabah FA at the top, in a table of 12. Among the 12 rated sides in the division that is the 3rd-best attack and the 4th-best defence. They scored in 3 of those 5 and kept 1 clean sheet. Next they travel to Şamaxı FK in the Premyer Liqa on 1 November 2026, a match the model gives them 48%.
Model rating
One scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side — how the ratings are built.
Premyer Liqa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Last 5 | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabah FA | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 18:1 | +17 | WWDWD | 20 |
| 2 | Neftchi Baku | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 22:9 | +13 | WWDDD | 18 |
| 3 | Qarabag | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14:7 | +7 | DWWDD | 18 |
| 4 | Turan | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 8:6 | +2 | DWWLD | 15 |
| 5 | Zira | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | DLDDW | 15 |
| 6 | Kapaz | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | WDWDW | 14 |
| 7 | Şamaxı FK | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:11 | +2 | DWDWL | 13 |
| 8 | Imisli FK | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | LLLWW | 10 |
| 9 | Sumqayıt | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | DDWWL | 8 |
| 10 | Qabala | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5:16 | -11 | LLLLW | 7 |
| 11 | Safa Baku | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5:17 | -12 | LLLLL | 3 |
| 12 | Araz | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7:19 | -12 | DLLLL | 2 |
- Champions League qualifying
- Conference League qualifying
- Relegation
Neftchi Baku sit 2 of 12, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- D1-1Turan24 October 2026
- D3-3away to Qarabag17 October 2026
- D0-0Sabah FA9 October 2026
- W3-0away to Qabala18 September 2026
- W3-2away to Imisli FK11 September 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Neftchi Baku vs Şamaxı FK
Neftchi Baku travel to Şamaxı FK at Shamakhi City Stadium, Shamakhi on 1 November 2026, 11:00 UTC. The model makes it 48% Neftchi Baku, 25% draw and 27% Şamaxı FK, with a most likely scoreline of 1-2. It projects 1.83 expected goals for Neftchi Baku against 1.24. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Full preview and model analysis for Neftchi Baku vs Şamaxı FK
Recent meetings with Şamaxı FK
- 10 May 2026Neftchi Baku 3–0 Şamaxı FKPremyer Liqa
- 28 February 2026Şamaxı FK 2–2 Neftchi BakuPremyer Liqa
- 16 August 2025Neftchi Baku 1–1 Şamaxı FKPremyer Liqa
- 7 April 2025Şamaxı FK 0–2 Neftchi BakuPremyer Liqa
- 31 January 2025Neftchi Baku 1–0 Şamaxı FKPremyer Liqa
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.
Other results that matter to Neftchi Baku
-
Sabah FA v Şamaxı FK · 8 November 2026
Neftchi Baku fans want a draw: that leaves Neftchi Baku's chance to finish top of the regular season at 15.9%, against 11.5% if Sabah FA win (12.4% today).
Sabah FA win11.5%−0.9Draw15.9%+3.5Şamaxı FK win14.8%+2.4 -
Turan v Sabah FA · 30 October 2026
Neftchi Baku fans want Turan to win: that leaves Neftchi Baku's chance to finish top of the regular season at 14.7%, against 10.9% if Sabah FA win (12.4% today).
Turan win14.7%+2.3Draw13.0%+0.6Sabah FA win10.9%−1.5 -
Qarabag v Turan · 6 November 2026
Neftchi Baku fans want Turan to win: that leaves Neftchi Baku's chance to finish top of the regular season at 14.3%, against 11.3% if Qarabag win (12.4% today).
Qarabag win11.3%−1.1Draw14.2%+1.8Turan win14.3%+1.9
From our season simulation, reading only the runs in which each result happened. A match is listed when it moves Neftchi Baku's figure by 2 points or more and both halves of the runs agree on which result helps.