Fredrikstad sit 7th in the Eliteserien on 27 points from 20 matches, having scored 24 and conceded 31. The model rates their attack at 0.71× the league average and their defence at 1.36× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — below average at both ends by these numbers. Across their last 5 league matches they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, most recently drawing with Sarpsborg 08 FF 1-1 at home. That is 1.35 points a match, scoring 1.20 and conceding 1.55 per game across 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats. That leaves them 23 points behind Bodo/Glimt at the top, in a table of 16. Among the 16 rated sides in the division that is the 7th-best attack and the 5th-best defence. They scored in 4 of those 5 and kept 1 clean sheet. Next they travel to Valerenga in the Eliteserien on 20 September 2026, a match the model gives them 32%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 20 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 52 | 17 | +35 | 50 |
| 2 | Viking | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 51 | 20 | +31 | 47 |
| 3 | Molde | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 43 | 30 | +13 | 36 |
| 4 | Tromso | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 27 | +10 | 35 |
| 5 | Lillestrom | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 26 | +2 | 32 |
| 6 | Rosenborg | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 36 | 29 | +7 | 30 |
| 7 | Fredrikstad | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 27 |
| 8 | Brann | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 37 | 31 | +6 | 26 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 25 |
| 10 | Ham-Kam | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 23 |
| 11 | Valerenga | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 22 |
| 12 | KFUM Oslo | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 22 | 34 | -12 | 22 |
| 13 | Sandefjord | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 20 |
| 14 | Kristiansund BK | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 19 |
| 15 | Aalesund | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 18 |
| 16 | Start | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 16 |
Fredrikstad sit 7 of 16, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- D1-1Sarpsborg 08 FF13 September 2026
- L1-2Bodo/Glimt4 September 2026
- W4-1away to Lillestrom30 August 2026
- W1-0Kristiansund BK16 August 2026
- W1-0away to Start8 August 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Fredrikstad vs Valerenga
Fredrikstad travel to Valerenga at Intility Arena, Oslo on 20 September 2026, 12:30 UTC. The model makes it 32% Fredrikstad, 29% draw and 39% Valerenga, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1. It projects 1.29 expected goals for Fredrikstad against 1.55. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Full preview and model analysis for Fredrikstad vs Valerenga
Recent meetings with Valerenga
- 4 July 2026Valerenga 3–1 FredrikstadFriendlies Clubs
- 12 April 2026Fredrikstad 1–1 ValerengaEliteserien
- 23 September 2025Valerenga 1–2 FredrikstadNM Cupen
- 5 July 2025Valerenga 1–1 FredrikstadEliteserien
- 9 April 2025Fredrikstad 2–0 ValerengaEliteserien
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.