Fredrikstad vs Kristiansund BK Eliteserien prediction & result
Final score: Fredrikstad 1-0 Kristiansund BK.
Before kick-off the model made it 55% Fredrikstad, 24% draw, 21% Kristiansund BK — fair odds of 1.82, 4.17 and 4.76.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Fredrikstad at 55%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Fredrikstad vs Kristiansund BK
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 77Martin BorsheimG
- 38Isak Helstad AmundsenD
- 4Fredrik HolméD
- 12Ulrik FredriksenD
- 16Daniel EidM
- 6Samuel Leach HolmM
- 14Max NilssonM
- 5Simen RafnM
- 29Gabriel WessehF
- 23Henrik Langaas SkogvoldF
- 20Oskar ØhlenschlaegerF
- 7Benjamin FaraasM
- 9Salim LaghzaouiM
- 21Jakub JezierskiM
- 28Solomon OwusuD
- 1Oystein OvretveitG
- 19Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-AlemD
- 18Jonathan NorbyeD
- 24Leonard OwusuM
- 10Johannes NúñezF
- 1Michael LansingG
- 22Haakon HaugenD
- 4Julius Mar JuliussonD
- 5Dan Peter UlvestadD
- 6Jesper IsaksenD
- 10Heine Gikling BrusethM
- 20Wilfred George IgorM
- 7Sander SvendsenM
- 27Adrian Kurd RønningM
- 9Sander Hestetun KilenM
- 19Leander AlvheimF
- 11Zymer BytyqiF
- 3Frederik FlexD
- 14Syver Skundberg SkeideM
- 17Max Normann WilliamsenD
- 12Adrian SætherG
- 2Anders BørsetD
- 23Tobias Hammer SvendsenM
Form going into Fredrikstad vs Kristiansund BK
Fredrikstad
All competitions we cover
- W1-0away to Start8 August 2026
- W1-0Sandefjord1 August 2026
- L0-4away to Rosenborg27 July 2026
- L0-1away to Bodo/Glimt17 July 2026
Kristiansund BK
All competitions we cover
- W2-1Molde9 August 2026
- L1-2away to KFUM Oslo2 August 2026
- L1-2Start25 July 2026
- D0-0Sarpsborg 08 FF18 July 2026
What these results say
- 3 of these 4 matches for Fredrikstad had two goals or fewer.
- Kristiansund BK failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Kristiansund BK scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Kristiansund BK conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Fredrikstad | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 30 |
| 14 | Kristiansund BK | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 26 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Fredrikstad vs Kristiansund BK
- 19 April 2026Kristiansund BK 2–0 FredrikstadEliteserien
- 2 November 2025Fredrikstad 3–1 Kristiansund BKEliteserien
- 11 May 2025Kristiansund BK 0–1 FredrikstadEliteserien
- 3 November 2024Fredrikstad 1–1 Kristiansund BKEliteserien
- 8 July 2024Kristiansund BK 3–1 FredrikstadEliteserien
Leading scorers: Fredrikstad and Kristiansund BK
Fredrikstad
No player in Eliteserien's leading scorers — 31 league goals as a side.
Kristiansund BK
GoalsAssists
- L. Alvheim120
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Fredrikstad beat Kristiansund BK 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Fredrikstad at 55%. The goal: Oskar Øhlenschlaeger 4' for Fredrikstad. On expected goals it finished 0.90–1.22.