Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt Eliteserien prediction & result
Final score: Fredrikstad 1-2 Bodo/Glimt.
Before kick-off the model made it 31% Fredrikstad, 29% draw, 40% Bodo/Glimt — fair odds of 3.23, 3.45 and 2.50. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Bodo/Glimt at 40% here. Across 3,039 settled matches (as of 5 October 2026), 1,415 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt
Line-ups
- 77M. BørsheimG
- 38I. AmundsenD
- 4F. HolméD
- 28S. OwusuD
- 16D. EidM
- 6S. Leach HolmM
- 14M. NilssonM
- 13S. SørløkkM
- 7B. ThoresenF
- 23H. SkogvoldF
- 18B. FiabemaF
- 30J. TorkildsenG
- 29G. WessehM
- 11L. WestF
- 12U. FredriksenD
- 21J. JezierskiM
- 9S. LaghzaouiM
- 10J. Hummelvoll-NuñezF
- 24L. OwusuM
- 5S. RafnD
- 12N. HaikinG
- 20F. SjøvoldD
- 2V. NielsenD
- 4O. BjørtuftD
- 15F. BjørkanD
- 8S. AuklendM
- 7P. BergM
- 19S. FetM
- 17O. BrynhildsenM
- 11O. Didrik BlombergF
- 21A. HelmersenF
- 22J. MvukaM
- 25I. MäättäD
- 1J. Faye LundG
- 16J. KitolanoM
- 10J. HaugeM
- 14U. SaltnesM
- 32K. SolhaugM
Form going into Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt
Fredrikstad
- W4-1away to Lillestrom30 August 2026
- W1-0Kristiansund BK16 August 2026
Bodo/Glimt
- W4-2Rosenborg30 August 2026
- W2-1away to Valerenga8 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 32 | -7 | 28 |
| 2 | Bodo/Glimt | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 53 | 19 | +34 | 50 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt
- 4 September 2026Fredrikstad 1–2 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
- 17 July 2026Bodo/Glimt 1–0 FredrikstadEliteserien
- 30 November 2025Bodo/Glimt 5–0 FredrikstadEliteserien
- 16 July 2025Fredrikstad 0–1 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
- 10 November 2024Bodo/Glimt 2–2 FredrikstadEliteserien
- 1 April 2024Fredrikstad 0–2 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
Leading scorers: Fredrikstad and Bodo/Glimt
Fredrikstad
No player in Eliteserien's leading scorers — 25 league goals as a side.
Bodo/Glimt
- A. Helmersen11 goals1 assist
- K. Høgh7 goals4 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.