16 September 2026, 19:00 UTC

Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Dinamo Zagreb UEFA Europa League prediction & result

Giulesti Stadium, Bucharest
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Hapoel Beer Sheva 0-0 Dinamo Zagreb.

Before kick-off the model made it 42% Hapoel Beer Sheva, 28% draw, 30% Dinamo Zagreb — fair odds of 2.38, 3.57 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Hapoel Beer Sheva at 42% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Hapoel Beer Sheva5%Draw92%Dinamo Zagreb3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

24'
🔁L. Kacavendaout: M. Zajc
63'
🔁A. Hoxhaout: S. Prevljak
64'
🔁M. Orsicout: L. Ivanusec
🔁Y. Maledeout: A. C. Ganah
69'
🔁A. Forsonout: H. Kanaan
75'
🔁J. Eastout: M. Abu Rumi
75'
78'
🔁L. Stojkovicout: K. Kravtsov
78'
🔁M. Lisicaout: I. Almena
🔁P. Amadorout: O. Davidzada
82'
🔁M. Baltaxaout: I. Nachmias
82'

Match stats — Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Dinamo Zagreb

66%Possession34%
15Shots7
2On target1
6Corners2

Line-ups

Hapoel Beer Sheva 4-3-3
  • 1O. MarcianoG
  • 2G. MizrahiD
  • 4Miguel VitorD
  • 3M. BaltaxaD
  • 5P. AmadorD
  • 17A. ForsonM
  • 28N. YehoshuaM
  • 9Z. AhmedM
  • 20J. EastF
  • 66I. ZlatanovicF
  • 14Y. MaledeF
Substitutes
  • 34M. WolffG
  • 36Y. Shani
  • 13O. DavidzadaD
  • 15I. NachmiasD
  • 8H. KanaanF
  • 11A. C. GanahF
  • 90A. UgarrizaF
  • 70Joao VictorF
  • 45M. Abu RumiF
Coach: Ran Kozuch
Dinamo Zagreb 4-1-4-1
  • 24D. KotarskiG
  • 15N. GalesicD
  • 36S. DominguezD
  • 26S. McKennaD
  • 3B. GodaD
  • 27J. MisicM
  • 21M. LisicaM
  • 10L. StojkovicM
  • 80L. KacavendaM
  • 99M. OrsicM
  • 11A. HoxhaF
Substitutes
  • 1D. ZagoracG
  • 44I. FilipovicG
  • 25M. ValincicD
  • 22M. Perez VinlofD
  • 8M. ZajcM
  • 5K. KravtsovM
  • 17L. IvanusecM
  • 23I. AlmenaF
  • 14S. PrevljakF
Coach: Mario Kovacevic

Form going into Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Dinamo Zagreb

Hapoel Beer Sheva

All competitions we cover

  • W2-0away to Hapoel Petah Tikva13 September 2026
  • L1-4Maccabi Tel Aviv7 September 2026
  • D2-2Hapoel Haifa2 September 2026
  • W2-1away to Hapoel Ramat Gan29 August 2026
  • L2-5away to Sabah FA25 August 2026

Dinamo Zagreb

All competitions we cover

  • L2-4away to NK Osijek12 September 2026
  • W1-0HNK Gorica5 September 2026
  • D2-2away to Istra 196129 August 2026
  • L1-3away to Viking26 August 2026
  • W3-1NK Varazdin22 August 2026

What these results say

  • Hapoel Beer Sheva scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Hapoel Beer Sheva conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Hapoel Beer Sheva had three goals or more.
  • Dinamo Zagreb scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Dinamo Zagreb conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Dinamo Zagreb had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

UEFA Europa League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
30Hapoel Beer Sheva301216-51
18Dinamo Zagreb311134-14

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Dinamo Zagreb

  • 31 July 2018Hapoel Beer Sheva 2–2 Dinamo ZagrebUEFA Champions League
  • 24 July 2018Dinamo Zagreb 5–0 Hapoel Beer ShevaUEFA Champions League

Leading scorers: Hapoel Beer Sheva and Dinamo Zagreb

Hapoel Beer Sheva

No player in UEFA Europa League's leading scorers — 1 league goals as a side.

Dinamo Zagreb

GoalsAssists

  • D. Beljo30

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Hapoel Beer Sheva and Dinamo Zagreb drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Hapoel Beer Sheva at 42% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one.

How the call on Hapoel Beer Sheva v Dinamo Zagreb has moved

First published on 2 Sep at 48% / 28% / 24% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 7 updates, it read 42% / 28% / 30%: the biggest move is Hapoel Beer Sheva's chance of winning, down 6 points.

  1. Hapoel Beer Sheva win42%▼ −6
  2. Draw28%=
  3. Dinamo Zagreb win30%▲ +6

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.