7 October 2026, 22:30 UTC

Internacional vs Corinthians Serie A prediction & result

Estádio Beira Rio, Porto Alegre
Referee: Felipe Fernandes de Lima
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Internacional 2-1 Corinthians.

Before kick-off the model made it 39% Internacional, 31% draw, 30% Corinthians — fair odds of 2.56, 3.23 and 3.33.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Internacional at 39%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Internacional97%Draw3%Corinthians0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Vitinhoassist: Alan Patrick
1'
28'
Breno Bidon
41'
Kaio César
Alexandro Bernabéi
45+5'
45'
🔁Breno Bidonout: André
🔁Brian Aguirreout: Paulo Lucas Santos de Paula
45'
Rodrigo Villagra
47'
58'
Gustavo Henrique
Paulo Lucas Santos de Paula
58'
🔁Alexandro Bernabéiout: Matheus Bahia
65'
🔁Thiago Maiaout: Bruno Henrique
65'
🔁José Carlos Ferreira Júniorout: Ronaldo da Silva Souza
73'
🔁Alerrandroout: Johan Carbonero
73'
⚽Alan Patrickassist: Bruno Henrique
77'
79'
🔁Gabriel Paulistaout: Vitinho
80'
⚽Andréassist: Vitinho
80'
🔁Yuri Albertoout: Gui Negão
85'
Rodrigo Garro
88'
🔁Memphis Depayout: Pedro Raul
88'
🔁Rodrigo Garroout: Matheus Pereira
Gabriel Mercado
90+5'
90+5'
Gui Negão

Match stats — Internacional vs Corinthians

28%Possession72%
17Shots22
7On target7
3Corners12

Line-ups

Internacional 4-2-3-1
  • 12AnthoniG
  • 35B. AguirreD
  • 15Bruno GomesD
  • 18JuninhoD
  • 25G. MercadoD
  • 5R. VillagraM
  • 29Thiago MaiaM
  • 28VitinhoM
  • 10Alan PatrickM
  • 26A. BernabéiM
  • 9AlerrandroF
Substitutes
  • 6Matheus BahiaD
  • 44Victor JoaoF
  • 49J. BezerraF
  • 7J. CarboneroF
  • 8Bruno HenriqueM
  • 23Matheus CunhaG
  • 17N. EliassonM
  • 30CalebeM
  • 46Pedro KauãD
Coach: Eduardo Baptista
Corinthians 4-2-3-1
  • 1Hugo SouzaG
  • 2MatheuzinhoD
  • 3Gabriel PaulistaD
  • 13Gustavo HenriqueD
  • 21Matheus BiduD
  • 8R. GarroM
  • 14RanieleM
  • 37Kaio CésarM
  • 10M. DepayM
  • 7BrenoM
  • 9Yuri AlbertoF
Substitutes
  • 11VitinhoF
  • 18Pedro RaulF
  • 77J. LingardM
  • 20P. MilansD
  • 23Matheus PereiraM
  • 35CharlesM
  • 29AllanM
  • 49AndreM
  • 56Guilherme InácioF
Coach: Fernando Diniz

Form going into Internacional vs Corinthians

Internacional

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1away to Sao Paulo20 September 2026
  • W2-1away to Chapecoense12 September 2026
  • L2-3Santos6 September 2026
  • L2-3away to Bahia30 August 2026
  • D0-0Atletico Mineiro22 August 2026

Corinthians

All competitions we cover

  • L1-3Fluminense20 September 2026
  • L1-2away to Flamengo13 September 2026
  • L1-2Chapecoense6 September 2026
  • L0-1Santos30 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Coritiba23 August 2026

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Brazil Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
16Internacional34911143842-438
17Corinthians34910153642-637

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Internacional vs Corinthians

  • 6 August 2026Corinthians 2–1 InternacionalCopa Do Brasil
  • 2 August 2026Internacional 2–0 CorinthiansCopa Do Brasil
  • 5 April 2026Corinthians 0–1 InternacionalSerie A
  • 1 October 2025Internacional 1–1 CorinthiansSerie A
  • 3 May 2025Corinthians 4–2 InternacionalSerie A

The full Internacional vs Corinthians record →

Leading scorers: Internacional and Corinthians

Internacional

GoalsAssists

  • J. Carbonero74

Corinthians

No player in Serie A's leading scorers — 36 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Internacional beat Corinthians 2–1. The model had made a win for Internacional its most likely outcome, at 39%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Vitinho 1' for Internacional, Alan Patrick 77' for Internacional, André 80' for Corinthians.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.