Birmingham sit 1st in the Championship on 29 points from 15 matches, having scored 28 and conceded 14. On the model's scale they rate 0.83 in attack and 1.03 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better), against Championship averages of 0.75 and 1.36: above the division's average at both ends. Across their last 5 league matches they have 4 wins and 1 defeat, most recently beating Swansea 2-1 at home. That is 1.93 points a match, scoring 1.87 and conceding 0.93 per game across 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats. They lead the 24-team table, level on points with Middlesbrough. Among the 24 rated sides in the division that is the 6th-best attack and the 1st-best defence. They scored in 4 of those 5 and kept 2 clean sheets. Next they travel to Stoke City in the Championship on 21 November 2026, a match the model gives them 37%.
Model rating
One scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side — how the ratings are built.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Last 5 | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 28:14 | +14 | WLWWW | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30:19 | +11 | DWWLD | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24:18 | +6 | WDWWW | 29 |
| 4 | Wolves | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26:18 | +8 | DWWWD | 28 |
| 5 | West Brom | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23:15 | +8 | WDWDW | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 22:18 | +4 | LLWLL | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 29:15 | +14 | DWWDL | 24 |
| 8 | QPR | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24:18 | +6 | LWLDW | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 37:23 | +14 | WLLDL | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield Utd | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21:19 | +2 | WDWWL | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20:18 | +2 | DWDWL | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich | 15 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 32:24 | +8 | LWWWW | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 22:23 | -1 | LWLLW | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 27:27 | 0 | DWLDW | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18:20 | -2 | WLLWD | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23:27 | -4 | DLWLL | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | LDWLL | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20:29 | -9 | DLLWL | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13:23 | -10 | LLLLW | 17 |
| 20 | Watford | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13:23 | -10 | WLLWD | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15:26 | -11 | DWLLL | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 22:31 | -9 | LLDDL | 10 |
| 23 | Derby | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14:30 | -16 | LDLLW | 10 |
| 24 | Preston | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13:30 | -17 | LDLLW | 8 |
- Promotion to Premier League
- Championship play-offs
- Relegation
Birmingham sit 1 of 24, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Position by match
Birmingham have been between 1st and 15th after each of their 15 Championship matches; 1st now. Rebuilt from the season's results after each of Birmingham's matches (x-axis); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored. Points deductions (Southampton −4) count from the first match.
Recent league form
- W2-1Swansea7 November 2026
- W3-0Millwall3 November 2026
- W3-1away to Lincoln31 October 2026
- L0-1away to Cardiff24 October 2026
- W3-0QPR17 October 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Birmingham vs Stoke City
Birmingham travel to Stoke City at Stoke on Trent on 21 November 2026, 15:00 UTC. The model makes it 37% Birmingham, 30% draw and 33% Stoke City, with a most likely scoreline of 0-1. It projects 1.24 expected goals for Birmingham against 1.13. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 42%.
Full preview and model analysis for Birmingham vs Stoke City
Recent meetings with Stoke City
- 24 January 2026Birmingham 1–1 Stoke CityChampionship
- 13 September 2025Stoke City 1–0 BirminghamChampionship
- 20 January 2024Stoke City 1–2 BirminghamChampionship
- 26 December 2023Birmingham 1–3 Stoke CityChampionship
- 10 April 2023Birmingham 0–0 Stoke CityChampionship
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.
Other results that matter to Birmingham
-
Norwich v Cardiff · 21 November 2026
Birmingham fans want a draw: that leaves Birmingham's chance to finish top of the regular season at 23.7%, against 19.1% if Cardiff win (21.7% today).
Norwich win21.9%+0.2Draw23.7%+2.0Cardiff win19.1%−2.6 -
Cardiff v Preston · 24 November 2026
Birmingham fans want Cardiff to win: that leaves Birmingham's chance to finish top of the regular season at 22.4%, against 19.5% if Preston win (21.7% today).
Cardiff win22.4%+0.7Draw21.7%=Preston win19.5%−2.2 -
Wolves v Charlton · 21 November 2026
Birmingham fans want a draw: that leaves Birmingham's chance of a top-two finish at 40.3%, against 37.8% if Wolves win (38.6% today).
Wolves win37.8%−0.8Draw40.3%+1.7Charlton win39.9%+1.3
From our season simulation, reading only the runs in which each result happened. A match is listed when it moves Birmingham's figure by 2 points or more and both halves of the runs agree on which result helps.
Upcoming fixtures
Recent results
Leading scorers
- A. Priske6 goals1 assist
- L. Millar4 goals3 assists
League goals this season.
Head-to-head records
- Birmingham vs Cardiff1W 1D 5L7 meetings
- Birmingham vs Millwall3W 2D 2L7 meetings
- Birmingham vs QPR4W 1D 2L7 meetings
- Birmingham vs Swansea4W 3D 0L7 meetings
- Birmingham vs Bristol City2W 2D 2L6 meetings
- Birmingham vs Burnley0W 3D 3L6 meetings
- Birmingham vs Derby3W 2D 1L6 meetings
- Birmingham vs Middlesbrough0W 1D 5L6 meetings
- Birmingham vs Norwich3W 0D 3L6 meetings
- Birmingham vs Preston4W 0D 2L6 meetings
Birmingham's record against each club, over the meetings on this site's own match record, which begins in July 2026. All head-to-head records.