JS Kabylie
vs
Ben Aknoun
Ligue 1 prediction
Our model says: JS Kabylie 2–1 Ben Aknoun
The model makes it 57% JS Kabylie, 24% draw, 19% Ben Aknoun — fair odds of 1.75, 4.17 and 5.26.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (10%).
Expected goals: JS Kabylie 2.10, Ben Aknoun 1.01.
Both teams to score: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%, under 2.5: 40%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,123 settled matches.
Edge to JS Kabylie: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 11 November 2026. JS Kabylie's rating is built from 38 Ligue 1 (Algeria) matches and Ben Aknoun's from 38, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- JS Kabylie are 2nd on 17 points from 8 games; Ben Aknoun are 11th on 8 points from 8 games — Ligue 1.
- JS Kabylie are unbeaten in their last 5 games (3 won), most recently a 0-0 draw away to Olympique Akbou.
- Ben Aknoun have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 0-1 defeat at home to CR Belouizdad.
- Last 5 meetings: JS Kabylie 4 wins to 0, 1 draw; the most recent, 1 April 2026, ended JS Kabylie 3–1 Ben Aknoun.
More Ligue 1 (Algeria) predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: JS Kabylie vs Ben Aknoun
Has the model earned this number?
JS Kabylie at 57%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into JS Kabylie vs Ben Aknoun
JS Kabylie
Ligue 1
- D0-0away to Olympique Akbou7 November 2026
- W1-0JS El Biar30 October 2026
- W3-0away to Khenchela24 October 2026
- W4-1US Biskra18 October 2026
- D1-1away to ES Setif14 October 2026
Ben Aknoun
Ligue 1
- L0-1CR Belouizdad8 November 2026
- D1-1away to MB Rouisset31 October 2026
- D0-0away to JS Saoura24 October 2026
- L1-2away to Olympique Akbou16 October 2026
- D2-2JS El Biar7 October 2026
What these results say
- JS Kabylie went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- JS Kabylie scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Ben Aknoun did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Ben Aknoun conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Algeria Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | JS Kabylie | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 3 | +8 | 17 |
| 11 | Ben Aknoun | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
JS Kabylie
Chance to finish in the top two · 36% today
Ben Aknoun
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 8% today
From our Ligue 1 season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: JS Kabylie vs Ben Aknoun
- 1 April 2026JS Kabylie 3–1 Ben AknounLigue 1
- 31 August 2025Ben Aknoun 1–1 JS KabylieLigue 1
- 27 April 2024Ben Aknoun 2–3 JS KabylieLigue 1
- 8 December 2023JS Kabylie 1–0 Ben AknounLigue 1
- 28 December 2017JS Kabylie 1–0 Ben AknounCoupe Nationale
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives JS Kabylie a 16.2% chance of the title and Ben Aknoun 0.2%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How the call on JS Kabylie v Ben Aknoun has moved
First published on 7 Nov at 55% / 24% / 21% (home / draw / away). After 2 updates it reads 57% / 24% / 19%: the biggest move is JS Kabylie's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- JS Kabylie win57%▲ +2
- Draw24%=
- Ben Aknoun win19%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives JS Kabylie the highest probability at 57%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.10 expected goals for JS Kabylie against 1.01 for Ben Aknoun. JS Kabylie's attack/defence rating is 0.66/1.35 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.62/1.96 for Ben Aknoun.
How the model reaches 57% for JS Kabylie to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for JS Kabylie to win. Then home advantage adds 8 points, the level of the two sides adds 1 point, JS Kabylie's ratings add 5 points and Ben Aknoun's ratings add 7 points, which lands on the published 57%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage44%+8
- Both sides at this match's level45%+1
- JS Kabylie's ratings50%+5
- Ben Aknoun's ratings57%+7
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
JS Kabylie at home · Ben Aknoun away
League matches only, Ligue 1, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Ligue 1 matches this season: JS Kabylie 8, Ben Aknoun 8.
Ben Aknoun score most often in the 76–90 minute window (3 goals); JS Kabylie have let in 0 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
JS Kabylie
- vs MC Alger23 Nov · Ligue 1win 39%
- at CR Belouizdad28 Nov · Ligue 1win 27%
- at JS Saoura1 Dec · Ligue 1win 37%
- vs CS Constantine26 Dec · Ligue 1win 67%
Ben Aknoun
- vs USM Alger23 Nov · Ligue 1win 38%
- vs MC Alger28 Nov · Ligue 1win 30%
- vs MC Oran1 Dec · Ligue 1win 39%
- at Témouchent26 Dec · Ligue 1win 35%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.