Témouchent
vs
JS El Biar
Ligue 1 prediction
Our model says: Témouchent 1–2 JS El Biar
The model makes it 34% Témouchent, 27% draw, 39% JS El Biar — fair odds of 2.94, 3.70 and 2.56.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Témouchent 1.43, JS El Biar 1.58.
Both teams to score: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%, under 2.5: 42%.
Model confidence: Low — calls at this level have come off 38% of the time, over 1,304 settled matches.
Edge to JS El Biar: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 11 November 2026. Témouchent's rating is built from 9 Ligue 1 (Algeria) matches and JS El Biar's from 9, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- Témouchent are 9th on 10 points from 9 games; JS El Biar are 8th on 11 points from 9 games — Ligue 1.
- Témouchent are unbeaten in 4 games, most recently a 1-1 draw away to Khenchela.
- JS El Biar have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-0 win at home to MC Alger.
- Last 4 meetings: JS El Biar 3 wins to 0, 1 draw; the most recent, 4 April 2026, ended JS El Biar 1–0 Témouchent.
More Ligue 1 (Algeria) predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Témouchent vs JS El Biar
Has the model earned this number?
JS El Biar at 39%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Témouchent vs JS El Biar
Témouchent
Ligue 1
- D1-1away to Khenchela8 November 2026
- D1-1US Biskra2 November 2026
- W2-1away to ES Setif24 October 2026
- D1-1ASO Chlef18 October 2026
- L0-2MB Rouisset14 October 2026
JS El Biar
Ligue 1
- W1-0MC Alger8 November 2026
- L0-1away to JS Kabylie30 October 2026
- D0-0MC Oran23 October 2026
- W4-2away to CS Constantine17 October 2026
- L2-3CR Belouizdad12 October 2026
What these results say
- Témouchent conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Témouchent failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Témouchent scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Algeria Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Témouchent | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 10 |
| 8 | JS El Biar | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Témouchent
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 30% today
JS El Biar
Chance to finish in the top two · 5% today
From our Ligue 1 season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Témouchent vs JS El Biar
- 4 April 2026JS El Biar 1–0 TémouchentLigue 2
- 18 November 2025Témouchent 1–1 JS El BiarLigue 2
- 5 April 2025JS El Biar 1–0 TémouchentLigue 2
- 15 November 2024Témouchent 0–1 JS El BiarLigue 2
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Témouchent a 0% chance of the title and JS El Biar 1.1%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives JS El Biar the highest probability at 39%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.43 expected goals for Témouchent against 1.58 for JS El Biar. Témouchent's attack/defence rating is 0.46/1.87 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.7/1.91 for JS El Biar.
How the model reaches 39% for JS El Biar to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for JS El Biar to win. Then home advantage takes away 7 points, Témouchent's ratings add 4 points and JS El Biar's ratings add 6 points, which lands on the published 39%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage29%−7
- Témouchent's ratings33%+4
- JS El Biar's ratings39%+6
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Témouchent at home · JS El Biar away
League matches only, Ligue 1, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Ligue 1 matches this season: Témouchent 9, JS El Biar 9.
Témouchent score most often in the 61–75 minute window (3 goals); JS El Biar have let in 1 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Témouchent
- vs USM Alger21 Nov · Ligue 1win 31%
- at JS Saoura28 Nov · Ligue 1win 23%
- at Olympique Akbou1 Dec · Ligue 1win 20%
- vs Ben Aknoun26 Dec · Ligue 1win 38%
- at CR Belouizdad31 Dec · Ligue 1win 14%
JS El Biar
- at ES Setif21 Nov · Ligue 1win 32%
- vs US Biskra28 Nov · Ligue 1win 68%
- vs ASO Chlef30 Nov · Ligue 1win 59%
- at Khenchela26 Dec · Ligue 1win 39%
- vs MB Rouisset31 Dec · Ligue 1win 46%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.