MB Rouisset
vs
CS Constantine
Ligue 1 prediction
Our model says: MB Rouisset 2–1 CS Constantine
The model makes it 57% MB Rouisset, 23% draw, 20% CS Constantine — fair odds of 1.75, 4.35 and 5.00.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (10%).
Expected goals: MB Rouisset 2.18, CS Constantine 1.09.
Both teams to score: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 63%, under 2.5: 37%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,123 settled matches.
Edge to MB Rouisset: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 11 November 2026. MB Rouisset's rating is built from 39 Ligue 1 (Algeria) matches and CS Constantine's from 39, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- MB Rouisset are 4th on 15 points from 9 games; CS Constantine are 12th on 7 points from 9 games — Ligue 1.
- MB Rouisset are unbeaten in their last 5 games (2 won), most recently a 1-1 draw away to ES Setif.
- CS Constantine have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 0-1 defeat away to JS Saoura.
- Last 3 meetings: CS Constantine 3 wins to 0, 0 draws; the most recent, 8 February 2026, ended MB Rouisset 1–2 CS Constantine.
More Ligue 1 (Algeria) predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: MB Rouisset vs CS Constantine
Has the model earned this number?
MB Rouisset at 57%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into MB Rouisset vs CS Constantine
MB Rouisset
Ligue 1
- D1-1away to ES Setif7 November 2026
- D1-1Ben Aknoun31 October 2026
- D1-1away to ASO Chlef24 October 2026
- W1-0JS Saoura18 October 2026
- W2-0away to Témouchent14 October 2026
CS Constantine
Ligue 1
- L0-1away to JS Saoura8 November 2026
- L0-2USM Alger31 October 2026
- L0-3away to Olympique Akbou23 October 2026
- L2-4JS El Biar17 October 2026
- L0-2away to Khenchela12 October 2026
What these results say
- MB Rouisset went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- MB Rouisset scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for MB Rouisset had two goals or fewer.
- CS Constantine did not win any of these 5 matches.
- CS Constantine conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- CS Constantine failed to score in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Algeria Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | MB Rouisset | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 15 |
| 12 | CS Constantine | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
MB Rouisset
Chance to finish in the top two · 6% today
CS Constantine
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 51% today
From our Ligue 1 season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: MB Rouisset vs CS Constantine
- 8 February 2026MB Rouisset 1–2 CS ConstantineLigue 1
- 5 September 2025CS Constantine 2–0 MB RouissetLigue 1
- 23 January 2019MB Rouisset 1–2 CS ConstantineCoupe Nationale
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives MB Rouisset a 2% chance of the title and CS Constantine 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives MB Rouisset the highest probability at 57%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.18 expected goals for MB Rouisset against 1.09 for CS Constantine. MB Rouisset's attack/defence rating is 0.54/1.53 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.59/2.48 for CS Constantine.
How the model reaches 57% for MB Rouisset to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for MB Rouisset to win. Then home advantage adds 8 points, the level of the two sides adds 1 point, MB Rouisset's ratings add 4 points and CS Constantine's ratings add 8 points, which lands on the published 57%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage44%+8
- Both sides at this match's level45%+1
- MB Rouisset's ratings49%+4
- CS Constantine's ratings57%+8
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
MB Rouisset at home · CS Constantine away
League matches only, Ligue 1, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Ligue 1 matches this season: MB Rouisset 9, CS Constantine 9.
CS Constantine score most often in the 46–60 minute window (3 goals); MB Rouisset have let in 2 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
MB Rouisset
- at Khenchela28 Nov · Ligue 1win 37%
- at US Biskra30 Nov · Ligue 1win 46%
- vs MC Oran26 Dec · Ligue 1win 40%
- at JS El Biar31 Dec · Ligue 1win 28%
CS Constantine
- vs MC Oran28 Nov · Ligue 1win 33%
- at JS Kabylie26 Dec · Ligue 1win 14%
- vs MC Alger31 Dec · Ligue 1win 24%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.