US Biskra
vs
Khenchela
Ligue 1 prediction
Our model says: US Biskra 0–1 Khenchela
The model makes it 33% US Biskra, 29% draw, 38% Khenchela — fair odds of 3.03, 3.45 and 2.63.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: US Biskra 1.16, Khenchela 1.28.
Both teams to score: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 44%, under 2.5: 56%.
Model confidence: Low — calls at this level have come off 38% of the time, over 1,304 settled matches.
Edge to Khenchela: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 11 November 2026. US Biskra's rating is built from 9 Ligue 1 (Algeria) matches and Khenchela's from 38, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- US Biskra are bottom on 4 points from 9 games; Khenchela are 13th on 6 points from 8 games — Ligue 1.
- US Biskra have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 0-0 draw at home to ASO Chlef.
- Khenchela are without a win in 4 games, most recently a 1-1 draw at home to Témouchent.
- Last 6 meetings: US Biskra 3 wins to 2, 1 draw; the most recent, 16 June 2025, ended US Biskra 1–2 Khenchela.
More Ligue 1 (Algeria) predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: US Biskra vs Khenchela
Has the model earned this number?
Khenchela at 38%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into US Biskra vs Khenchela
US Biskra
Ligue 1
- D0-0ASO Chlef8 November 2026
- D1-1away to Témouchent2 November 2026
- L0-1MC Alger27 October 2026
- L1-4away to JS Kabylie18 October 2026
- L0-1MC Oran13 October 2026
Khenchela
Ligue 1
- D1-1Témouchent8 November 2026
- L0-2away to MC Alger31 October 2026
- L0-3JS Kabylie24 October 2026
- L0-1away to MC Oran17 October 2026
- W2-0CS Constantine12 October 2026
What these results say
- US Biskra did not win any of these 5 matches.
- US Biskra conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for US Biskra had two goals or fewer.
- Khenchela failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Khenchela conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Khenchela had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Algeria Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | US Biskra | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 4 |
| 13 | Khenchela | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
US Biskra
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 92% today
Khenchela
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 35% today
From our Ligue 1 season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: US Biskra vs Khenchela
- 16 June 2025US Biskra 1–2 KhenchelaLigue 1
- 20 December 2024Khenchela 0–0 US BiskraLigue 1
- 16 March 2024US Biskra 2–1 KhenchelaLigue 1
- 11 November 2023Khenchela 0–1 US BiskraLigue 1
- 1 July 2023US Biskra 1–0 KhenchelaLigue 1
- 12 November 2022Khenchela 1–0 US BiskraLigue 1
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Khenchela the highest probability at 38%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.16 expected goals for US Biskra against 1.28 for Khenchela. US Biskra's attack/defence rating is 0.37/2.22 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.48/1.93 for Khenchela.
How the model reaches 38% for Khenchela to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Khenchela to win. Then home advantage takes away 7 points, the level of the two sides takes away 1 point, US Biskra's ratings add 5 points and Khenchela's ratings add 5 points, which lands on the published 38%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage29%−7
- Both sides at this match's level28%−1
- US Biskra's ratings33%+5
- Khenchela's ratings38%+5
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
US Biskra at home · Khenchela away
League matches only, Ligue 1, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Ligue 1 matches this season: US Biskra 9, Khenchela 8.
US Biskra score most often in the 31–45 minute window (2 goals); Khenchela have let in 0 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
US Biskra
- at JS El Biar28 Nov · Ligue 1win 13%
- vs MB Rouisset30 Nov · Ligue 1win 25%
- vs Olympique Akbou26 Dec · Ligue 1win 24%
- at USM Alger31 Dec · Ligue 1win 12%
Khenchela
- vs MB Rouisset28 Nov · Ligue 1win 34%
- vs ES Setif30 Nov · Ligue 1win 36%
- vs JS El Biar26 Dec · Ligue 1win 35%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.