ASO Chlef
vs
Olympique Akbou
Ligue 1 prediction
Our model says: ASO Chlef 0–1 Olympique Akbou
The model makes it 31% ASO Chlef, 30% draw, 39% Olympique Akbou — fair odds of 3.23, 3.33 and 2.56.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: ASO Chlef 1.11, Olympique Akbou 1.31.
Both teams to score: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 44%, under 2.5: 56%.
Model confidence: Low — calls at this level have come off 38% of the time, over 1,304 settled matches.
Edge to Olympique Akbou: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 11 November 2026. ASO Chlef's rating is built from 39 Ligue 1 (Algeria) matches and Olympique Akbou's from 38, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- ASO Chlef are 15th on 5 points from 9 games; Olympique Akbou are 7th on 12 points from 8 games — Ligue 1.
- ASO Chlef have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 0-0 draw away to US Biskra.
- Olympique Akbou are unbeaten in their last 5 games (2 won), most recently a 0-0 draw at home to JS Kabylie.
- Last 5 meetings: ASO Chlef 2 wins to 1, 2 draws; the most recent, 17 April 2026, ended ASO Chlef 1–0 Olympique Akbou.
More Ligue 1 (Algeria) predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: ASO Chlef vs Olympique Akbou
Has the model earned this number?
Olympique Akbou at 39%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into ASO Chlef vs Olympique Akbou
ASO Chlef
Ligue 1
- D0-0away to US Biskra8 November 2026
- L1-2ES Setif30 October 2026
- D1-1MB Rouisset24 October 2026
- D1-1away to Témouchent18 October 2026
- D1-1MC Alger13 October 2026
Olympique Akbou
Ligue 1
- D0-0JS Kabylie7 November 2026
- D0-0away to MC Oran30 October 2026
- W3-0CS Constantine23 October 2026
- W2-1Ben Aknoun16 October 2026
- D0-0away to JS Saoura8 October 2026
What these results say
- ASO Chlef did not win any of these 5 matches.
- ASO Chlef scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- ASO Chlef conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Olympique Akbou went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Olympique Akbou kept a clean sheet in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Algeria Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | ASO Chlef | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 5 |
| 7 | Olympique Akbou | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
ASO Chlef
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 54% today
Olympique Akbou
Chance to finish in the top two · 5% today
From our Ligue 1 season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: ASO Chlef vs Olympique Akbou
- 17 April 2026ASO Chlef 1–0 Olympique AkbouLigue 1
- 21 November 2025Olympique Akbou 2–1 ASO ChlefLigue 1
- 15 March 2025ASO Chlef 0–0 Olympique AkbouLigue 1
- 18 October 2024Olympique Akbou 0–0 ASO ChlefLigue 1
- 12 May 2023ASO Chlef 1–0 Olympique AkbouCoupe Nationale
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives ASO Chlef a 0% chance of the title and Olympique Akbou 1.5%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Olympique Akbou the highest probability at 39%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.11 expected goals for ASO Chlef against 1.31 for Olympique Akbou. ASO Chlef's attack/defence rating is 0.46/1.98 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.55/1.49 for Olympique Akbou.
How the model reaches 39% for Olympique Akbou to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Olympique Akbou to win. Then home advantage takes away 7 points, the level of the two sides takes away 1 point, ASO Chlef's ratings add 6 points and Olympique Akbou's ratings add 5 points, which lands on the published 39%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage29%−7
- Both sides at this match's level28%−1
- ASO Chlef's ratings34%+6
- Olympique Akbou's ratings39%+5
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
ASO Chlef at home · Olympique Akbou away
League matches only, Ligue 1, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Ligue 1 matches this season: ASO Chlef 9, Olympique Akbou 8.
Olympique Akbou score most often in the 46–60 minute window (7 goals); ASO Chlef have let in 2 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
ASO Chlef
- at USM Alger28 Nov · Ligue 1win 17%
- at JS El Biar30 Nov · Ligue 1win 19%
- vs JS Saoura26 Dec · Ligue 1win 34%
- at Ben Aknoun31 Dec · Ligue 1win 22%
Olympique Akbou
- at CR Belouizdad23 Nov · Ligue 1win 21%
- vs ES Setif28 Nov · Ligue 1win 47%
- vs Témouchent1 Dec · Ligue 1win 53%
- at US Biskra26 Dec · Ligue 1win 47%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.