MB Rouisset
vs
CR Belouizdad
Ligue 1 prediction
Our model says: MB Rouisset 0–1 CR Belouizdad
The model makes it 33% MB Rouisset, 28% draw, 39% CR Belouizdad — fair odds of 3.03, 3.57 and 2.56.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: MB Rouisset 1.26, CR Belouizdad 1.40.
Both teams to score: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 50%, under 2.5: 50%.
Model confidence: Low — calls at this level have come off 38% of the time, over 1,304 settled matches.
Edge to CR Belouizdad: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 11 November 2026. MB Rouisset's rating is built from 39 Ligue 1 (Algeria) matches and CR Belouizdad's from 38, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- MB Rouisset are 4th on 15 points from 9 games; CR Belouizdad are top on 20 points from 8 games — Ligue 1.
- MB Rouisset are unbeaten in their last 5 games (2 won), most recently a 1-1 draw away to ES Setif.
- CR Belouizdad are unbeaten in their last 5 games (4 won), most recently a 1-0 win away to Ben Aknoun.
- Last 2 meetings: CR Belouizdad 1 win to 0, 1 draw; the most recent, 7 March 2026, ended CR Belouizdad 3–1 MB Rouisset.
More Ligue 1 (Algeria) predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: MB Rouisset vs CR Belouizdad
Has the model earned this number?
CR Belouizdad at 39%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into MB Rouisset vs CR Belouizdad
MB Rouisset
Ligue 1
- D1-1away to ES Setif7 November 2026
- D1-1Ben Aknoun31 October 2026
- D1-1away to ASO Chlef24 October 2026
- W1-0JS Saoura18 October 2026
- W2-0away to Témouchent14 October 2026
CR Belouizdad
Ligue 1
- W1-0away to Ben Aknoun8 November 2026
- W1-0JS Saoura2 November 2026
- D2-2away to USM Alger24 October 2026
- W3-2away to JS El Biar12 October 2026
- W1-0Khenchela7 October 2026
What these results say
- MB Rouisset went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- MB Rouisset scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for MB Rouisset had two goals or fewer.
- CR Belouizdad went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- CR Belouizdad scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- CR Belouizdad won 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Algeria Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | MB Rouisset | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 15 |
| 1 | CR Belouizdad | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
MB Rouisset
Chance to finish in the top two · 6% today
CR Belouizdad
Chance to finish in the top two · 68% today
From our Ligue 1 season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: MB Rouisset vs CR Belouizdad
- 7 March 2026CR Belouizdad 3–1 MB RouissetLigue 1
- 3 October 2025MB Rouisset 1–1 CR BelouizdadLigue 1
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives MB Rouisset a 2% chance of the title and CR Belouizdad 42%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives CR Belouizdad the highest probability at 39%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.26 expected goals for MB Rouisset against 1.40 for CR Belouizdad. MB Rouisset's attack/defence rating is 0.54/1.53 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.76/1.44 for CR Belouizdad.
How the model reaches 39% for CR Belouizdad to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for CR Belouizdad to win. Then home advantage takes away 7 points, the level of the two sides takes away 1 point, MB Rouisset's ratings add 5 points and CR Belouizdad's ratings add 6 points, which lands on the published 39%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage29%−7
- Both sides at this match's level28%−1
- MB Rouisset's ratings33%+5
- CR Belouizdad's ratings39%+6
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
MB Rouisset at home · CR Belouizdad away
League matches only, Ligue 1, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Ligue 1 matches this season: MB Rouisset 9, CR Belouizdad 8.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
MB Rouisset
- vs CS Constantine21 Nov · Ligue 1win 57%
- at Khenchela28 Nov · Ligue 1win 37%
- at US Biskra30 Nov · Ligue 1win 46%
- vs MC Oran26 Dec · Ligue 1win 40%
- at JS El Biar31 Dec · Ligue 1win 28%
CR Belouizdad
- at MC Oran21 Nov · Ligue 1win 37%
- vs Olympique Akbou23 Nov · Ligue 1win 54%
- vs JS Kabylie28 Nov · Ligue 1win 46%
- at MC Alger26 Dec · Ligue 1win 28%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.